It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We continue with the wide receivers. Today, we take a look at one of Patrick Mahomes’ new weapons, along with Skyy Moore and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Maybe the Packers misused Marquez Valdes-Scantling, or maybe MVS just needed a change of scenery? Let’s take a look at his 2022 fantasy football player profile!
Marquez Valdes-Scantling ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: WR48, 119 overall
Average Auction Value: $1.2
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Statistics:
|Year||Std Pts||HPPR Pts||PPR Pts||Pts/G||HPPR Pts/G||PPR Pts/G||Pts/Tgt||HPPR Pts/Tgt||PPR Pts/Tgt|
|Year||Air Yards||aDOT||YAC||YAC/Tgt||YAC/Rec||AYMS||Tgt MS|
2022 Marquez Valdes-Scantling Fantasy Football Overview:
There are a lot of people who want Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a thing, but I have seen MVS play enough football to know when Lucy is going to pull that ball away right before we go to kick it. MVS has been above 10 unrealized air yards per target in each of the last three seasons, garnering enough targets in 2019 and 2020 to rank fourteenth and fifteenth in the stat, respectively. And that was with Aaron Rodgers, who isn’t any slouch when it comes to deep ball threats. Sure, MVS dropped a lot of passes (9 of 46 catchable targets) in 2020, but he had zero drops in 2021 (on 31 catchable targets).
If you were paying attention, you can see where I am going with this: MVS was better last year, but Aaron Rodgers just straight up missed him a bunch, with just 56% of MVS’s passes being deemed catchable by PlayerProfiler.com last season, compared to 73% in 2020. So, you can see where the difference happened.
So, you have to ask yourself if you think that MVS and Patrick Mahomes will be able to get onto the same page with the deep shots. Well, I worry that Patrick Mahomes won’t be able to replicate Aaron Rodgers’ downfield accuracy, mostly because Mahomes’ downfield accuracy has likely been greatly exaggerated, at least compared to Aaron Rodgers’. Rodgers had a 62% deep ball catchable pass rate last season, which was higher than any season of Mahomes’ career, according to PlayerProfiler.com.
So, if you want to put your chips somewhere in the Chiefs’ passing game, I’m not super keen on getting ahold of MVS in your drafts.
2022 Marquez Valdes-Scantling Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
A bet on MVS is a bet against JuJu Smith-Schuster and a bet against Skyy Moore. He also is more expensive than Skyy Moore, while being not as good of a player. I feel like MVS is going to get a lot of heat this offseason because he’s going to get a ton of buzz as connecting with Patrick Mahomes, but I’m still not convinced.
I’m also not… not convinced. Luckily, he and Skyy Moore both go at a range where you can snag them both if you make an effort to do it. Skyy has an ADP of 128, and MVS an ADP of 123. If you take them starting around pick 100, then you can get them both at ADP. If you get one, you probably want to get them both. But if you want just one… you probably want Skyy Moore.
MVS has his place in best ball and DFS lineups, however, as he will still be tied to a potent passing offense that will have 500-yard, 5 touchdown outbursts. I just fear that he won’t have week-to-week usability for most leagues.
Best Case Scenario:
Marquez Valdes-Scantling turns in a massive 1,000 yards, ten touchdown season, and Patrick Mahomes finishes as QB1.
Worst Case Scenario:
Marquez Valdes-Scantling turns in a not-quite-as-massive 100-yard, one touchdown season as Patrick Mahomes banishes him to the nether realm after he drops a big touchdown pass.
Check out all our 2022 player profiles, here.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4b/Marquez_Valdes-Scantling_83_Packers_training_camp_2019.jpg, cropped under CC BY SA 2.0]