It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We continue with the wide receivers. Today, we take a look at a wide receiver who cashed out on a career year in his contract season in Arizona and took his talents to… well, took them closer to South Beach. Kirk is now a Jacksonville Jaguar, and should you boldly go where no one else in your league has gone before? Alright, so people have drafted Kirk before, but just work with me here, okay? Let’s take a look at the 2022 Christian Kirk player profile!
Christian Kirk ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: WR44, 105 overall
Average Auction Value: $1.4
Christian Kirk Statistics:
|Year||Std Pts||HPPR Pts||PPR Pts||Pts/G||HPPR Pts/G||PPR Pts/G||Pts/Tgt||HPPR Pts/Tgt||PPR Pts/Tgt|
|Year||Air Yards||aDOT||YAC||YAC/Tgt||YAC/Rec||AYMS||Tgt MS|
2022 Christian Kirk Fantasy Football Overview:
Four years into Christian Kirk’s career and the best (and simultaneously the most damning) thing you can say about him is that he’s not bad. He has a solid 4.2 catch, 52-yard-per-game average in his four years in the league, boasting a 66% catch rate. He also has 8.1 yards per target in the NFL. All of this isn’t superlative, it’s also not terrible. It’s all… not bad. He also finished the year ranked 32nd in targets and 30th in fantasy points per game. All told, not bad.
But, there’s nothing superlative about his profile, even when you look under the hood. He was fourteenth in yards per target last season, but according to playerprofiler.com, only ten wide receivers had more accurate targets than Kirk. He also had no real split difference with and without Kyler Murray, averaging 1.2 fewer PPR points per game because of a lack of touchdowns (and he lost a foot per game in receiving yards. Not a yard, one-third of a yard).
So, all-in-all, Christian Kirk is not bad. And, not bad might just be what the Jaguars need right now, with Marvin Jones on the wrong side of his career, Laviska Shenault going more De’Anthony Thomas than Deebo Samuel, and Zay Jones getting a zillion dollars this offseason. Being not bad automatically makes Christian Kirk the best wide receiver in Jacksonville.
2022 Christian Kirk Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
But what is the “Best Wide Receiver in Jacksonville” worth, really? He’s WR44 by ADP, pick 105 overall, and $1.4 in salary cap drafts. I sort of feel like that’s a good range for him to end up. I don’t really see a lot of upside for Christian Kirk in the Jags’ offense. If the Jags can turn it around, it will be thanks to a team effort, not because Trevor Lawrence and Christian Kirk lock eyes and end up connecting for 1,200 total yards. That’s just not in Kirk’s profile, and it doesn’t seem to be in Lawrence’s, either (he’s too smart for that). If I’m drafting in this range in a twelve-team league, I am taking the upside here, not a guy who will be solid (if unspectacular) roster glue. There’s the waiver wire for that, and there’s a big chance that if you take Christian Kirk, he’ll end up there anyway.
So, it looks like Christian Kirk’s upside is a WR3, and all-in-all, that’s not bad.
It’s not good, either.
Best Case Scenario:
Christian Kirk finishes the year with 80 catches for 1,000 yards and finishes around WR30. Not bad!
Worst Case Scenario:
Christian Kirk finishes the year with 50 catches for 700 yards and finishes around WR50. Not bad!
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]