2022 Davis Mills Fantasy Football Player Profile

Davis Mills Houston Texans

It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We start off with the quarterbacks. Davis Mills wasn’t supposed to be the second-most prolific fantasy football quarterback among the 2021 rookies, but here we are. Where does he rank among the 2022 fantasy football landscape?

Davis Mills ADP and AAV:

Average Draft Position: QB28, 220 overall
Average Auction Value: $0

Davis Mills Statistics:
Year G GS Att Comp Comp% Yds TD Int Comp/G Att/G Yds/G TD/G INT/G
2021 13 11 263 394 66.8% 2664 16 10 20.2 30.3 204.9 1.2 0.8
Year 4 PPTD 6 PPTD 4 PPTD/G 6 PPTD/G Year Att Yd TD YPC Att/G Yd/G
2021 157 189 12.1 14.54 2021 18 44 0 2.4 1.4 3.4
Year Air Yards aDOT aDOT+ Y/A TD% INT% Sacks Yds/Sack
2021 2867 7.28 7.28 6.80 6.1% 3.8% 31 6.65

aDOT+ represents a player’s depth of target compared to the league average for that season. Air yards data is from FTNFantasy.com/air-yards 

2022 Davis Mills Fantasy Football Overview:

Davis Mills had himself a bizarre season, probably because the Texans were a bizarre team. They had Brandin Cooks and not much else. That’s why they went 4-13 last season, with two of their wins over the moribund Jacksonville Jaguars franchise. But, we don’t care if a team wins football games as long as their fantasy football assets perform. Davis Mills got off to a rough start, but in his last five games (after returning from a four-week performance-based benching). He started their final five games and learned some lessons from his time on the bench. In Mills’ first six starts, he averaged 209 passing yards, a score, and 1.2 picks per game. Upon his return from his benching, the rookie averaged 240 passing yards, 1.5 touchdowns, and half a pick per contest. He played so well in this span that he was a top-ten fantasy quarterback over the last five games of the season.

The Texans hope to keep that ball rolling, announcing him as the starter for the rest of the year before that run. They also did not take a quarterback in the draft (probably because few, if none of them, were better than Davis Mills), so we expect to see more of him doing this in 2022.

2022 Davis Mills Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:

Davis Mills Auction Value: $-
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming in early July)

If you’re thinking of drafting Davis Mills in a 1QB league, I beg you, my brother or sister, consider literally anyone else. You’ve had too much Kool-Aid. He’s firmly a 2QB player at this point. And, I like him for this. The Texans aren’t going to bench Davis Mills, so he clears that bar for QB2 pick in a 2QB/Superflex league. He’s QB29 off of the board in snake drafts, and has no average auction value (because he’s mostly undrafted in 1QB leagues). So, is he worth it as a #3 QB?

Absolutely. After he returned from his benching, he was a top-15 QB in four of five games, and that kind of upside from a guy who won’t get benched is a massive value at the backend of the starting quarterback ranks in 2QB & Superflex drafts. He’s also the last QB by ADP who is likely to start all year, as he goes before Marcus Mariota (Desmond Ridder), Mitchell Trubisky (Kenny Pickett), Baker Mayfield (NFL Ronin), Taysom Hill (a Tight End), and “Handsome” James “Jimmy” Garoppolo (who knows).

Best Case Scenario:

John Metchie and Nico Collins become what their respective backers hope, and Brandin Cooks continues to cook. Davis Mills vaults himself into the “poor man’s Derek Carr or Kirk Cousins” territory and is an annual QB2 in 2QB/Superflex leagues.

Worst Case Scenario:

Davis Mills’ neck continues to grow and he retires from the NFL to become Geoffrey the Giraffe in the live-action Toys ‘R’ Us movie.

Check out all our 2022 player profiles, here.

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For more analysis like these player profiles, check out these links!

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Image Source: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Davis_Mills_2021.png under CC BY SA 2.0

 

About Jeff Krisko

You can follow me on twitter, @jeffkrisko for the same lukewarm takes you read here.

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