It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We start off with the quarterbacks. Zach Wilson was the #2 quarterback off the board last season and played like a quarterback made of #2. Sorry to be crass, but he was awful last season for a Jets team in transition. They beefed up their weaponry, but is it enough to make Zach Wilson’s 2022 a fantasy football-relevant season?
Zach Wilson ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: QB22, 173 overall
Average Auction Value: $0.0
Zach Wilson Statistics:
|Year||4 PPTD||6 PPTD||4 PPTD/G||6 PPTD/G||Year||Att||Yd||TD||YPC||Att/G||Yd/G|
aDOT+ represents a player’s depth of target compared to the league average for that season. Air yards data is from FTNFantasy.com/air-yards
2022 Zach Wilson Fantasy Football Overview:
The New York Jets went out and got Zach Wilson upgrades at wide receiver (Garrett Wilson), running back (Breece Hall), tight end (Jeremy Ruckert, C.J. Uzomah, and Tyler Conklin), and offensive line (Laken Tomlinson). So, a lot of fantasy football managers are looking toward Wilson to have a 2022 break-out campaign. Granted, I think he will take a step forward in 2022 but I also think that Zach Wilson has a long way to go before he’s someone I want in my fantasy football league.
Zach Wilson was at the bottom of the league in completion percentage last season (min. 350 attempts), as he completed just 55.6% of his pass attempts. He was also one of three players with more interceptions than touchdowns in that group, alongside Trevor Lawrence and Sam Darnold. But, unfortunately, it gets worse than “worst in the league.”
Since 2010, 31 rookie quarterbacks have thrown at least 350 passes. Zach Wilson threw 383 last season and boasted the fifth-worst completion percentage among that cohort. He finished just below Blaine Gabbert, DeShone Kizer, Andrew Luck, and Josh Rosen. He finished just ahead of Geno Smith, Brandon Weeden, and Sam Darnold. Only Josh Rosen had a lower yard per attempt than Wilson in that group, meaning he was throwing short and not completing them. Because of this, through one season, there’s not a lot to be happy about with Wilson. I doubt he turns into Andrew Luck, and the rest of that group average just 4.3 starts per season after their rookie year (with Blaine Gabbert’s 41 in 9 seasons and Sam Darnold’s 36 in 3 seasons doing the heavy lifting).
2022 Zach Wilson Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
In a 1QB league, I am fully hands-off with regard to Zach Wilson. So if you play in a 1QB league you can skip down to the little cutesy joke I do below. If you’re in a 2QB league, then read on.
Don’t draft Zach Wilson unless he’s your third quarterback. There’s something to be said for him likely starting all seventeen games if he remains healthy, but there’s also something to be said for him playing all seventeen games if he remains healthy and terrible. I don’t want to tie my fortunes to deciding if I should start my roster’s QB2, Zach Wilson, or my roster’s QB3, Jared Goff, every week. It just gives you that sinking feeling in the pit of your stomach.
Best Case Scenario:
The Jets put it together and Zach Wilson runs enough to get him top-ten numbers in some games. We look back on it as a “Baker Mayfieldesque Breakout Campaign” and he hits sleeper lists in 2023.
Worst Case Scenario:
His Instagram Famous Mom kidnaps Wilson and forces him into an NFL-themed TikTok dance troupe with JuJu Smith-Schuster and Brittany & Jackson Mahomes.
Check out all our 2022 player profiles, here.
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For more analysis like these player profiles, check out these links!