It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We start off with the quarterbacks. Jameis Winston will finally have the quarterback room in New Orleans all to himself, as Sean Payton’s departure means nobody is going to try to act like Taysom Hill should be a quarterback. Winston was once a top-12 fantasy football quarterback. Is his current ADP an insane steal (like walking into a grocery store and walking out with crabs’ legs) or will your dreams get intercepted by reality?
Jameis Winston ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: QB21, 149 overall
Average Auction Value: $1.2
Jameis Winston Statistics:
Year | G | GS | Att | Comp | Comp% | Yds | TD | Int | Comp/G | Att/G | Yds/G | TD/G | INT/G |
2021 | 7 | 7 | 95 | 161 | 59.0% | 1170 | 14 | 3 | 13.6 | 23.0 | 167.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
2020 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 18.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
2019 | 16 | 16 | 626 | 380 | 60.7% | 5109 | 33 | 30 | 39.1 | 23.8 | 319.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Year | 4 PPTD | 6 PPTD | 4 PPTD/G | 6 PPTD/G | Year | Att | Yd | TD | YPC | Att/G | Yd/G | |
2021 | 117.4 | 145.4 | 16.8 | 20.77 | 2021 | 32 | 166 | 1 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 23.7 | |
2020 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | 2020 | 8 | -6 | 0 | -0.8 | 2.0 | -1.5 | |
2019 | 305.4 | 371.4 | 19.1 | 23.21 | 2019 | 59 | 250 | 1 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 15.6 |
Year | Air Yards | aDOT | aDOT+ | Y/A | TD% | INT% | Sacks | Yds/Sack |
2021 | 1337 | 8.30 | 8.30 | 7.30 | 14.7% | 3.2% | 11 | 6.27 |
2020 | 51 | 4.6 | -3.8 | 6.82 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2 | 5.50 |
2019 | 6510 | 10.40 | 2.22 | 8.16 | 5.3% | 4.8% | 47 | 6.00 |
aDOT+ represents a player’s depth of target compared to the league average for that season. Air yards data is from FTNFantasy.com/air-yards
2022 Jameis Winston Fantasy Football Overview:
Jameis Winston has a bevy of weapons at his disposal (Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, Jarvis Landry, and Chris Olave) to go with one of the league’s better offensive lines and a somewhat continuous offensive game plan that Jameis has studied for three years. Jameis knows the system, has plenty of weapons and was QB8 the last time we saw him for a whole season despite throwing 30 picks. Jameis also played well for the Saints last year prior to his ACL tear. He played in seven games, and had a 5 touchdown game, a 2 touchdown game, and a 4 touchdown game to his name last season, throwing for a 14:3 TD: INT ratio. He also has zero competition to be the starting quarterback.
2022 Jameis Winston Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Jameis Winston Auction Value: $-
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming in early July)
I love Jameis Winston as the cheap upside backend QB2 to help your fantasy football squads. He’s QB21 by ADP, going at pick 161 in 1QB leagues. That’s an absolute steal for a guy who has done it before in the league and isn’t on a career decline. That’s more than we can say about the four QBs in front of him (Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Fields, Trevor Lawrence, and Matt Ryan). For that reason alone, he should be a middling QB2 at worst in fantasy football drafts. If you draft old-school smart guy style and take a QB in the last round, then Jameis should be your guy.
As for salary cap drafts, there’s literally no reason to not get Jameis Winston on your roster. He’s less than $2. So, instead of stupidly paying up on a D/ST and K, just skimp on those guys, get $1 guys there, and use your savings to get Jameis as your team’s QB2. He’s basically a shoo-in to be a top-15 QB this season and has top-eight upside if everything falls into place for him in New Orleans.
Best Case Scenario:
Jameis Winston returns to his 2019 form and throws for 30+ touchdowns.
Worst Case Scenario:
Jameis Winston returns to his 2019 form and throws for 30+ interceptions.
Check out all our 2022 player profiles, here.
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