2021 Odell Beckham, Jr. Fantasy Football Player Profile

As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. Odell Beckham was willing to relocate to Cleveland, probably to get away from Danny Dimes. Does his 2020 injury have his draft stock too low? Additionally, does anyone want to buy any of these things I stole?

2021 Odell Beckham, Jr. ADP and AAV:

Average Draft Position: WR28, Pick 68
Average Auction Value: $4.5

Odell Beckham, Jr. Statistics:
Year G GS Tgt Rec Yards TD Tgt/G Rec/G Rec% Yds/Tgt Yds/Rec
2020 7 7 43 23 319 3 6.14 3.29 53.5% 7.42 13.87
2019 16 15 133 74 1035 4 8.31 4.63 55.6% 7.78 13.99
2018 12 12 124 77 1052 6 7.75 4.81 62.1% 8.48 13.66
Year Std Pts HPPR Pts PPR Pts Pts/G HPPR Pts/G PPR Pts/G Pts/Tgt HPPR Pts/Tgt PPR Pts/Tgt
2020 63.8 75.3 86.8 9.1 10.8 12.4 1.48 1.75 2.02
2019 127.3 164.3 201.3 8.0 10.3 12.6 0.96 1.24 1.51
2018 153.3 191.8 230.3 12.8 16.0 19.2 1.24 1.55 1.86
Year Air Yards aDOT YAC YAC/Tgt YAC/Rec AYMS Tgt MS
2020 597 14 35 0.80 1.52 36% 23%
2019 1801 13.5 326 2.45 4.41 38% 25%
2018 1515 12.3 283 2.30 3.72 42% 28%
2021 Odell Beckham, Jr. Overview

Extrapolated to 16 games, Odell’s 6 non-injured games would have become 850 yards and 8 touchdowns. That would have placed him firmly at WR27… not great. In 2019, his first year with the Browns, he played 16 games and ended up WR26, so the story checks out. However, Cleveland’s offense took a leap forward in 2020, scoring 408 points versus the 335 they scored in 2019. Odell is known for scoring, so it’s an important data point to factor in. I have, like, half a Miller Lite I swiped at a party I wasn’t invited to. $5 OBO.

The Browns are committed to the run, obviously. They spent the #10 overall draft pick on an offensive tackle. Still, it should be noted that the NFL’s top-rated offensive line could get even better, which would benefit everyone. However, there are many mouths to feed and the Browns were bottom ten in terms of passing yards last year. I stole a chicken from the Costco. $5 firm.

2021 Odell Beckham, Jr. Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:

Odell Beckham, Jr. Auction Value: $4
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!

It’s pretty obvious that spending a small amount of draft capital to acquire Odell is a no-brainer. I wouldn’t reach for him in snake drafts, because that means grabbing him in round 5. Round 5 is for RB2’s and WR2’s, not a WR who will likely be flex-able at best. But if he falls to the back of the 6th round or later, he’s not a bad high-floor-with-potentially-high-ceiling grab. Just like I grabbed that sign outside Tony’s Barbershop that says “Tony’s Barbershop.” $5 OBO.

At an auction, I’m seeing him go for $2-$6 about 2/3rds of my mocks, and in the rest, he is going for low teens. He’s in the group of guys where you should go, “hey, I’ll throw a small amount of money to get him on my bench.” Low teens isn’t bench money, though, it’s WR2 money if you wait long enough for the wide receiver market to plummet (it always does). I have a recycle bin I took from my neighbor (he just left it outside, the moron). $5 OBO, probably has a few nickels worth of recyclables in it.

Best Case Scenario:

OBJ falls to you, Baker Mayfield takes a step forward. Beckham ends up as a passable WR2. You make a mint from this old recliner I found on the sidewalk: Haven’t even checked it for loose change. $5 OBO.

Worst Case Scenario:

You reach for OBJ in the fifth round or for $teens. He’s washed and gives you as many 36th-48th finishes as he does 12th-36ths. You don’t take advantage of my $5 offer for selling you some dentures (I’m a really good pickpocket).

 

Check out all our 2021 player profiles as we publish them, here

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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]

[Image Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8a/Odell_Beckham_Jr._2020.jpg  under SA cc-2.0]

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