As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. We’ve broken down the best quarterbacks! We have brought you great info on the best running backs! We’ve even done all the homework you will need on wide receivers. Unfortunately, now we have to tell you about all the best tight ends. This is a problem because if you play fantasy football, you know that all tight ends are bad. Then there is TJ Hockenson.
2021 T.J Hockenson ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: TE5, Pick 52
Average Auction Value: $13
2021 T.J Hockenson Statistics:
| Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
| 2020 | 16 | 16 | 101 | 67 | 723 | 6 | 6.31 | 4.19 | 66.3% | 7.16 | 10.79 |
| 2019 | 12 | 7 | 59 | 32 | 367 | 2 | 4.92 | 2.67 | 54.2% | 6.22 | 11.47 |
| Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
| 2020 | 108.3 | 141.8 | 175.3 | 6.8 | 8.9 | 11.0 | 1.07 | 1.40 | 1.74 |
| 2019 | 48.7 | 64.7 | 80.7 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 0.83 | 1.10 | 1.37 |
| Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
| 2020 | 710 | 7.03 | 329 | 3.26 | 4.91 | 16% | 18% |
| 2019 | 443 | 7.5 | 200 | 3.39 | 6.25 | 10% | 14% |
2021 T.J Hockenson Overview
Last year, I did an Absurdity Check on T.J. Hockenson because I was curious about this tight end who was drafted in the top-ten, yet managed to not flame out of the NFL in spectacular fashion. What I discovered is that the Detroit Lions are very good at negating their best weapons. If you watched enough tape of Hockenson, you saw a guy who was a match-up nightmare.
In 2020, T.J. Hockenson was the TE3 last year. Hockenson was fifth in targets, fourth in receptions, third in yards, and ninth in touchdowns. He is a third-year player who should see visible improvement just based on not having Matt Patricia coaching him. Last year, Hunter Henry saw 93 targets under Anthony Lynn, which ranked second on the Chargers behind Keenan Allen’s 147 targets. Hockenson’s biggest competition for receiving on the Lions is Quintez Cephus. The opportunity and talent are there for Hockenson to have a very big year.
2021 T.J Hockenson Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
T.J. Hockenson Auction Value: $8
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
T.J. Hockenson is my absolute favorite tight end prospect in 2021. He is right in that sweet spot of value, opportunity, and production. Last year, Hockenson was the TE3 on the year last year, so we know he can be a top-flight tight end. Yet you can still grab him in the fourth or fifth round. What this means is you can end up having a top-three guy at his position, without burning the draft capital necessary to get a Darren Waller or Travis Kelce, missing out on a strong running back or wide receiver.
In auction drafts, while Evan Hoovler has T.J. Hockenson at $8, I will happily go as high as $15. The reason is simple. I hate tight ends. Most of the time, I will spend most of the season trying to divine which waiver wire tight end is going to have a match-up that will make me hate myself less, only to inevitably discover that a top-five fantasy match-up doesn’t make bad tight ends any better. I will happily spend less than 10% of my budget to just not worry about tight ends. Especially when I think it will net me a top-three guy at their position.
Best Case Scenario:
The best case scenario is that T.J. Hockenson finishes as the best tight end in football. Hockenson is blessed with physical talent, a new scheme that utilizes tight ends well, and not a lot of competition.
Worst Case Scenario:
T.J. Hockenson is a tight end who plays for the Lions and we all wonder why we thought he’d be successful when we all know tight ends are bad. He finishes as a low-end TE1/high-end TE2 and we wonder who we should’ve drafted in the fifth round.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: TJ Hockenson on Twitter]
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