It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We continue with the tight ends. Today, we take a look at a tight end who is remarkably unremarkable, but incredibly consistent. Let’s take a look at the oft-injured and even more overlooked Hunter Henry with his 2022 fantasy football player profile!
Hunter Henry ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: TE13, 119 overall
Average Auction Value: $1.1
Hunter Henry Statistics:
Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
2021 | 17 | 10 | 75 | 50 | 603 | 9 | 4.41 | 2.94 | 66.7% | 8.04 | 12.06 |
2020 | 14 | 14 | 93 | 60 | 613 | 4 | 6.64 | 4.29 | 64.5% | 6.59 | 10.22 |
2019 | 12 | 12 | 76 | 55 | 652 | 5 | 6.33 | 4.58 | 72.4% | 8.58 | 11.85 |
Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
2021 | 114.3 | 139.3 | 164.3 | 6.7 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 1.52 | 1.86 | 2.19 |
2020 | 85.3 | 115.3 | 145.3 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 0.92 | 1.24 | 1.56 |
2019 | 95.2 | 122.7 | 150.2 | 7.9 | 10.2 | 12.5 | 1.25 | 1.61 | 1.98 |
Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
2021 | 648 | 9.67 | 129 | 1.72 | 2.58 | 18% | 14% |
2020 | 723 | 7.86 | 244 | 2.65 | 4.07 | 19% | 18% |
2019 | 793 | 10.4 | 164 | 2.16 | 2.98 | 21% | 17% |
2022 Hunter Henry Overview:
Hunter Henry has quietly been one of the more consistently productive tight ends in the NFL in recent seasons, but he misses out on a lot of the publicity that other players at the position receive thanks to their ridiculous upside. While Henry doesn’t get a lot of elite games (just two inside the top-five in each of the last two seasons), he’s ridiculously consistently a TE1, finishing as a TE1 seven times in 2021 (tied with Kyle Pitts, Dalton Schultz, and Dallas Goedert) and six times in 2020 (tied with Rob Gronkowski). Henry is just maddeningly consistent, posting totals of 10-15 PPR points with ridiculous consistency. Over the last three seasons, he’s posted sixteen games in that range, which puts him as the league leader among active players (unless Jared Cooks squeezes out one more season).
But, it’s his lack of blowup games that keep Hunter Henry from being a studly fantasy football name. He has just eight games of over 15 PPR points in the last three seasons, which ties him with Dalton Schultz (who did it in two seasons), Noah Fant, and Tyler Higbee. He also doesn’t really blow it too much, as his eighteen games under 10 PPR points rank 39th, behind guys like Noah Fant, Dawson Knox, Mike Gesicki, and Zach Ertz, who all go at or near Henry’s ADP.
2022 Hunter Henry Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Hunter Henry Salary Cap Value: $1
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
Hunter Henry isn’t the type of tight end that you go out of your way to get, but he is the type of tight end that you want to have on your roster if you take an upside play on a tight end like Cole Kmet or Gerald Everett. Because, if those guys fall on their faces, you can just plug in the remarkably unremarkable Hunter Henry at tight end, and reap the rewards. And by “reap the rewards” I mean get the feeling you get when you win another scratcher on a scratcher. You’re not mad, but you’re also not sad. You’re satisfied that you didn’t blow it. That’s the best feeling you can get out of Hunter Henry for fantasy: you didn’t blow it. Henry has at least 75 targets in each of the last three seasons and is one of five active tight ends (Mark Andrews, Mike Gesicki, Travis Kelce, and Darren Waller) to total at least 75 targets in each of the last three seasons.
Henry goes as the last of the solid tight ends, as TE13, pick 119. There’s a 12-pick gap between him and TE12 (Gesicki), and an 11-pick gap between Henry and TE14 (Cole Kmet). There’s a definitely intentional pick here, as he is the bridge between the upper blob (Hockenson/Goedert/Knox/Ertz/Friermuth/Gesicki) and the lower blob (Kmet/Irv Smith/Fant/Okwuegbunam). He’s not a sexy pick, but he’s a solid pick at a good value that could save your season.
A productive, yet unsexy pick is exactly what you want in salary cap drafts. That explains Henry’s $1.1 AAV. He’s drafted in just 91% of leagues, so by the time you get to the Henry range, people could pass on him entirely for upside players. And if you want to get him onto your roster, you’ll face very little pushback. He’s great as a $3-or-less TE, but I prefer him at $1-$2. If you want to throw him out at $2 to put someone in the position of deciding if they want to spend $3 on Henry, then go for it. I won’t get mad at paying a dollar for the war game.
Best Case Scenario:
Hunter Henry smashes all expectations and finishes as TE10.
Worst Case Scenario:
Hunter Henry falls short of all expectations and finishes as TE15.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]