It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We continue with the wide receivers. Today, we take a look at Jerry Jeudy, who got himself a new quarterback this offseason, and who many hope will finally push through and fulfill the promise he once displayed. What can we expect from him in 2022 fantasy football leagues? Let’s take a look at his player profile!
Jerry Jeudy ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: WR24, 62 overall
Average Auction Value: $4.7
Jerry Jeudy Statistics:
|Year||Std Pts||HPPR Pts||PPR Pts||Pts/G||HPPR Pts/G||PPR Pts/G||Pts/Tgt||HPPR Pts/Tgt||PPR Pts/Tgt|
|Year||Air Yards||aDOT||YAC||YAC/Tgt||YAC/Rec||AYMS||Tgt MS|
2022 Jerry Jeudy Fantasy Football Overview:
Jerry Jeudy was a top-fifteen pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, but injuries and the Drew Lock of it All have kept him from truly breaking out in a big way. Sure, he popped onto the scene as a rookie, totaling 113 targets that he turned into 52 catches, 856 receiving yards, and three touchdowns. But that was only good enough to be WR55. Injuries limited him last season, and he played just ten games, amassing 3.8 receptions for 46.7 yards per game, and he didn’t score.
So, as of right now, Jerry Jeudy hasn’t really done it for fantasy football managers. Through 26 career games, he has two top-12 weeks, one top-24 week, and 5 top-36 weeks. That leaves 69% (nice) of his games where he failed to finish as even a top-36 wide receiver. That is to say, he’s been mostly useless for fantasy football purposes. Granted, a lot of that has to do with Drew Lock, but even Teddy Bridgewater failed to make the most of Jeudy, as he averaged just 49.9 yards on four catches per game without Drew Lock, on six targets per contest. These were nearly identical to his with-Lock totals (6 targets, 3 catches, 51 yards).
Granted, Russell Wilson might literally be better than Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater combined, and while Jeudy failed to convert any of his skills into the box score, he still carried 96th-percentile separation in 2021, meaning that Jeudy was open a lot. Wilson should better maximize Jeudy, and that shouldn’t be particularly jarring to say. But, it comes down to the draft day price.
2022 Jerry Jeudy Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
The Sutton vs Jeudy conundrum differs in snake drafts versus salary cap drafts. Denver has Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson replacing Vic Fangio and Drew Lock/Teddy Bridgewater. If Russ has his way, both Jeudy and Sutton will have big seasons, just like Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf. Hackett, however, might narrow in on one. If he narrows in on one player, I don’t think it will be Jerry Jeudy. He doesn’t have the track record of a Courtland Sutton, and it’s hard to build a game plan around a guy who has never done it before. But, there’s a lot of uncertainty here, and it’s a question of how much will it cost to accumulate the uncertainty?
In salary cap drafts, you’re looking at an absolutely braindead, dirt-cheap cost to get Jeudy and Sutton onto your roster, with Sutton costing $6.5 by AAV, and Jeudy costing $4.9. This way, you can’t be wrong! And if there’s no way to be wrong (both are top-fifteen wide receivers) then good news, you have two top-fifteen wide receivers!
Things get messier in snake drafts, where you have to make a Sutton-or-Jeudy determination. It’s worth getting both of them onto your roster, but given how snake drafts work, and given that they go five picks apart, you have to prioritize one over the other. Personally, I’m leaning into Sutton first, as he had the second-highest depth of target last season and the fifth-most unrealized air yards. There’s plenty of Courtland Sutton left on the bone, compared to Jeudy who had an aDOT outside of the top-fifty and just under two-thirds as many air yards per game as Sutton.
Best Case Scenario:
Russell Wilson unlocks Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Unfortunately, this causes the rest of the ancillary offensive pieces to take a slight step back.
Worst Case Scenario:
Russell Wilson unlocks Albert Okwuegbunam and Tim Patrick, leaving Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy on the outside looking in.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: Denver Broncos on Twitter]