It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We start off with the quarterbacks. Aaron Rodgers has spent the last two years doing literally everything possible to stay in the public eye as much as one human can. He pouted and threw a fit, lied about his vaccination status, and the Packers rewarded him with an absolutely bonkers contract. Oh, and he drove out his star wide receiver. Aaron Rodgers is the first player profile I’m writing about the quarterbacks where I am firmly and staunchly, 100% hands off. Let’s dig into why.
Aaron Rodgers ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: QB10, 77 overall
Average Auction Value: $3.2
Aaron Rodgers Statistics:
|Year||4 PPTD||6 PPTD||4 PPTD/G||6 PPTD/G||Year||Att||Yd||TD||YPC||Att/G||Yd/G|
aDOT+ represents a player’s depth of target compared to the league average for that season. Air yards data is from FTNFantasy.com/air-yards
2022Aaron Rodgers Fantasy Football Overview:
The last time we saw Aaron Rodgers on a football field, he fell apart against the 49ers in a snow storm, throwing for just 225 yards on 29 pass attempts; 11 of these targets went to Davante Adams, who accounted for 90 of his 225 passing yards. And now, that’s gone. I would say “replaced” by Christian Watson, but Watson is essentially a Marquez Valdes-Scantling clone, and Rodgers lost him, too (to Kansas City). So I guess some amalgamation of Romeo Doubs, Sammy Watkins, and Allen Lazard will replace Davante Adams? I know Aaron Rodgers is Aaron Rodgers but is that really the weaponry you want your quarterback going into the season with? Is that who you want as your QB1? Someone deciding between Romeo Doubs and Sammy Watkins?
It gets worse than just raw targets. Between Adams, MVS, and Equanimeous St. Brown (who is now a Bear), Rodgers lost the guys on the receiving end of 65% of his air yards over the last two seasons. And now, he’s going to be 39 this season, with a bevy of unspectacular weapons and an increasingly strange disposition. I personally don’t want anything to do with Rodgers, who will need to repeat 2020 (4,299 passing yards, 48 touchdowns) to make me feel about not drafting him, not at any price.
2022 Aaron Rodgers Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Just stay away from Aaron Rodgers. That’s not a particularly difficult set of strategies to adhere to. He’s QB9 in snake drafts, ahead of Matthew Stafford, Russell Wilson, and Tom Brady. Those are all guys who I would take 10/10 over Aaron Rodgers, even if ADP wasn’t a concern. I have no interest in Rodgers, and especially not with him going in round seven, on average. In salary cap drafts, it’s more of the same, as Rodgers goes for $2.5, on average. That’s half a buck behind Stafford, Russ, and Dak. Since you can’t spend half a dollar in auctions, that means your $3 can buy you Rodgers or any of those guys. I’ll take any of those guys over Aaron Rodgers at this point.
Best Case Scenario:
Rodgers and his motley crew of receiving options somehow make it all work and he throws for 4,300 yards and 50 touchdowns. Aaron Jones also finishes as the RB1 as it’s the only way for this insane outcome to actually happen.
Worst Case Scenario:
He quits the NFL to become a crunchy granola fitness influencer and he chokes on homemade muesli, hits his head, and wakes up thinking that he is, in fact, the Messiah (after all, how else would you explain his look now).
Check out all our 2022 player profiles, here.
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