As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. DeAndre Hopkins move to the Cardinals had pundits ranking him just as high as before. And he came through… kind of… did he? Let’s examine what 2020 DeAndre Hopkins did to project how 2021 DeAndre Hopkins will be. But first… a stat rundown!
2021 DeAndre Hopkins ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: WR4, Pick 16
Average Auction Value: $44 (WR4)
DeAndre Hopkins Statistics:
Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
2020 | 16 | 16 | 160 | 115 | 1407 | 6 | 10.00 | 7.19 | 71.9% | 8.79 | 12.23 |
2019 | 15 | 15 | 150 | 104 | 1165 | 7 | 9.38 | 6.50 | 69.3% | 7.77 | 11.20 |
2018 | 16 | 16 | 163 | 115 | 1572 | 11 | 10.19 | 7.19 | 70.6% | 9.64 | 13.67 |
Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
2020 | 172.8 | 230.3 | 287.8 | 10.8 | 14.4 | 18.0 | 1.08 | 1.44 | 1.80 |
2019 | 164.5 | 216.5 | 268.5 | 11.0 | 14.4 | 17.9 | 1.10 | 1.44 | 1.79 |
2018 | 218.5 | 276.0 | 333.5 | 13.7 | 17.3 | 20.8 | 1.34 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
2020 | 1381 | 9 | 570 | 3.56 | 4.96 | 33% | 30% |
2019 | 1580 | 10.5 | 387 | 2.58 | 3.72 | 34% | 30% |
2018 | 1995 | 12.2 | 384 | 2.36 | 3.34 | 45% | 32% |
2021 DeAndre Hopkins Overview:
Oh, man, I had a great idea: If you like fantasy football, why not go all-in on the fantasy element? That’s right: D&D football! Now, I haven’t actually played D&D but I think I get the general gist enough to make this a hugely successful endeavor. To that end: I sold my house and car to fund this and now live in the forest… just like elves! See, I do get this D&D thing, no sweat!
Let me use a character from my upcoming D&D Football first edition to show you how things work. This character is Sir DeAndre Hopkins. Last campaign, Hopkins escaped the clutches of an evil ogre named Deshaun. Hopkins does this by using a teleportation spell to travel to the magical and enchanted land of Phoenix, Arizona.
Once in Arizona, Hopkins performed among the top 5 best fireball catchers in all the land. This was identical to his most recent finish with the sick, dastardly Deshaun, but still a step back from his #2 overall placing in the previous campaign.
The wrinkle for my next campaign is that Hopkins’ co-catcher, the 450-year-old Sir Larry Fitzgerald, is expected to retire. Will this improve Hopkins’s performance or will the new absence coverage of enemy spears that Fitzgerald drew hurt Hopkins?
2021 DeAndre Hopkins Draft Strategy:
DeAndre Hopkins Auction Value: $35
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
It really comes down to that last twist: If you think the replacement of Fitzgerald with A.J, Green will help Hopkins, reach a bit for him. A “reach” here would be early $40s at auction or early 2nd round at giant poisonous snake drafts.
If you’re not sure about whether Hopkins will benefit from Fitzgerald being replaced by a receiver 5 years younger, cool off on him. That’s around the 2nd round end/3rd round start or mid-30s at auction. I have him listed as $35 at auction, does that mean I’m cool on him? Well, no, I believe he’ll repeat his last two seasons and finish around 5th at wide receiver. I list him lower than most at auction because my specific and extensively tested auction strategy utilizes the insane value for WRs that happens later in auctions to boost the quality of the other 3 positions early on. If you don’t follow that strategy, feel free to bid $45 for him. Don’t, however, reach for him in the first round: There are just way too many other good talents out there.
Best Case Scenario:
Hopkins benefits from the continued development of fireball slinger Kyler Murray, who is brave and handsome and also an ogre. Hopkins finishes top 3 at his position.
Worst Case Scenario:
The nearly 30-years-old Hopkins loses a step and some targets, and finishes as a back-end WR1. He is put on IR right before the fantasy playoffs when a dragon eats him.
Check out all our 2021 player profiles, here. If you liked this article, consider talking shop with us in our Discord or following us on Twitch.
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]
[Image source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/0b/Cardinals_WR_DeAndre_Hopkins.jpg under cc-2.0]
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