2021 Matt Ryan Fantasy Football Player Profile

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It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We start off with the quarterbacks. We continue our look around the NFL’s signal callers with a quarterback who has a brand new toy. What will 2021 Matt Ryan bring for our fantasy football leagues?

2021 Matt Ryan ADP & AAV:

Average Draft Position: QB14, Pick 118
Average Auction Value: $1.4 (QB14)

Matt Ryan Statistics
Year G GS Att Comp Comp% Yds TD Int Att/G Comp/G Yds/G TD/G INT/G
2020 16 16 626 407 65.0% 4581 26 11 39.1 25.4 286.3 1.6 0.7
2019 15 15 616 408 66.2% 4466 26 14 41.1 27.2 297.7 1.7 0.9
2018 16 16 608 422 69.4% 4924 35 7 38.0 26.4 307.8 2.2 0.4
Year 4 PPTD 6 PPTD 4 PPTD/G 6 PPTD/G Year Rush Ru Yds Ru TD YPC Ru Att/G Ru Yd/G
2020 282.4 334.4 17.7 20.90 2020 29 92 2 3.2 1.8 5.8
2019 267.3 319.3 17.8 21.29 2019 34 147 1 4.3 2.3 9.8
2018 354 424 22.1 26.50 2018 33 125 3 3.8 2.1 7.8
Year Air Yards aDOT aDOT+ Y/A TD% INT% Sacks Yds/Sack
2020 5050 8.05 0.32 7.32 4.2% 1.8% 41 6.27
2019 4990 8.10 -0.08 7.25 4.2% 2.3% 48 6.58
2018 5168 8.50 0.32 8.10 5.8% 1.2% 42 7.05

aDOT+ is the quarterback’s average depth of target compared to the league average

2021 Matt Ryan Fantasy Football Overview:

Can I interest you in a 36-year-old quarterback who ranks third in sacks the last three seasons? Wait, there’s more: he has also had declining passing yardage and touchdown rate in each of the last two seasons? But hold on, what if he lost the best weapon of his career, and has to start over with a first-round rookie tight end? I know he sounds enticing, but what if I told you that he also only rushes for about 8 yards per game? And he has a new, run-oriented offensive coordinator? Does Matt Ryan sound like an enticing prospect, to you? No? Well, for some reason, people have decided to hype up Matt Ryan, and I don’t know why.

Ryan lost Julio Jones, his binky on the football field. Sure, maybe Kyle Pitts can replace Julio someday, but to expect him to step into the shoes of Julio effing Jones on day one is putting too many expectations on the kid. Matt Ryan is in the class of statue quarterbacks, and he doesn’t really do much with the weaponry the place around him. He’s just… there. Ryan has just 26 passing touchdowns in each of the last two seasons and has only stayed afloat by throwing for about 290 yards per game, but even that is fading.

2021 Matt Ryan Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:

Dak Prescott Auction Value: $3
Draft Ranking: Want rankings tailored to your league settings in a Beersheet? (coming early July)

I don’t know a reason to have Matt Ryan anywhere near your thought process on draft day in a 1QB league. He has a new set of weaponry, a new offense, a declining skill set, and he doesn’t run. Ryan is going in the “upside QB” range but there’s no upside, there. Ryan has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback less than half the time in each of the last two seasons, and lost his main weapon. I have literally zero interest in him in 1QB leagues, even with Kyle Pitts. There’s so much working against him that it will be an uphill battle to just have fantasy relevance in 1QB leagues. No thanks, I’m out. He can be someone else’s problem.

Best Case Scenario:

Kyle Pitts is everything we think he would and could be, as is Calvin Ridley as the WR1 in Atlanta. The offense fires on all cylinders and is one of the best in the NFL; Matt Ryan finishes as QB11.

Worst Case Scenario:

Arthur Smith, smitten by that picture of Mike Davis’ thighs, tries to turn him into Derrick Henry, and it works. Ryan is relegated to handing the ball off 20 times a game and passing 25 times per game. Ryan toils in obscurity until he becomes a successful businessman as he rapidly closes in on 40.

 

Check out all our 2021 player profiles as we publish them, here

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quarterback Beersheets Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks Los Angeles Rams San Francisco 49ers New England Patriots

[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]

About Jeff Krisko

You can follow me on twitter, @jeffkrisko for the same lukewarm takes you read here.

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