Congratulations. If you’re reading this, it means that you made it to the semi-finals in your fantasy football league. Or it means that you’re taking your consolation bracket extremely seriously. If it’s the second, maybe listen to us a little bit more next year, okay? Anyway, it’s time to take a look at three guys who you might consider streaming at this point in the season. Should you start or sit Antonio Brown, Brandon Aiyuk, or Corey Davis in fantasy football week fifteen?
Start or Sit Antonio Brown at Atlanta?
Tom Brady has tried it every which way with Antonio Brown, and dag gummit, nothing is working. Brown had 21 targets in weeks ten and eleven, with the passing game going absolutely H.A.M. as Tom Brady threw the ball 89 times in those two weeks. The Buccaneers returned from their bye and threw the ball just 23 times in a conservative passing game that comes with Tom Brady’s calendar switching into December. Throughout his career, Brady throws for 242 yards per game in December, the only month under 268. The pie shrinks, as does his accuracy and yards per attempt. There’s just less to go around. It’s understandable, then, why Bruce Arians leaned on Ronald Jones and the running game in week fourteen. Jones ran the ball 18 times, and Brady threw it just 23 times, with five different guys getting multiple targets.
What does all this mean for Antonio Brown? It means you should sit Antonio Brown if you can help it. The Buccaneers have a good QB matchup, but they had that last weekend, too. Given the sudden contraction in the passing game, I don’t think I can trust Antonio Brown this weekend.
Start or Sit Brandon Aiyuk at Dallas?
I don’t know how to tell you this, but Brandon Aiyuk is a must-start receiver in your fantasy football leagues. Whether it’s Nick Mullens, Jimmy Garoppolo, C.J. Beathard, or Kyle Shanahan himself under center for the Niners, Aiyuk is a guy you have to get into your lineups. With or without Deebo Samuel, with or without George Kittle: Aiyuk has straight-up produced. He’s missed two games due to COVID-19 protocols and had the 49ers bye crammed in there, so he didn’t get the streak most people get to knock his roster percentage up to 100% (it currently sits at just 78%). Over his last five games, Brandon Aiyuk averages 11.2 targets, 7.2 catches, and 99 yards per game while scoring in three of those five games (and four-of-six).
Since their week ten bye, the Cowboys have allowed six different wide receivers to get at least ten (HPPR) fantasy points against them… in three games. It will be a big one for Aiyuk. Start Brandon Aiyuk this week, and never look back (well, for the next two games of the fantasy season).
Start or Sit Corey Davis versus Detroit
Corey Davis burned us last week… hard. The #19 WR on the year in points per game laid a total egg, turning three targets into just 34 yards. The thing that really killed him was fumbling the ball, which knocked a point off of his total. But, I am going back to him this week. These games tend to happen when Derrick Henry rips off 200+ yards from scrimmage. I am going to lean into the last four Corey Davis games, instead. In the four games prior to the 34-yard effort, he averaged six catches for 108 yards per game. This week, he gets the Lions defense that allows the third-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the last five weeks. It’s a smash matchup, and outside of a few weird fluky games, Davis has more than enough targets to justify the decision to start Corey Davis.
What’s the Verdict?
Brandon Aiyuk is a smash, weekly start. That one’s easy. Antonio Brown can’t be used, outside of exceptionally desperate and deep leagues. Corey Davis sits in the middle and he is a recommended start this week and should finish inside the top-24 wide receivers in a juicy matchup.