I’m not sure what it says about Carson Wentz that in our first run of player profiles, we got to Teddy Bridgewater before Carson Wentz. At least there’s something to say about Bridgewater. Wentz is just sort of… there. He’s always going to sit around QB9, plus or minus a couple of spots in each direction. He’s a boring back-end quarterback at this point, but is there a world where Carson Wentz bucks that trend and ends up with a top-five season?
Carson Wentz ADP and AAV:
ADP: QB11, #85 overall
Average Auction Value: $3
Carson Wentz Statistics:
Carson Wentz Overview:
There’s almost no chance that Carson Wentz ends up within the top-five at the position, and in fact, he was the luckiest quarterback in 2019 and ended up as just QB9 last year. That’s one of the reasons why I’m pretty much out on Carson Wentz, given that he’s barely going at a discount, and that he’s going around guys I would rather have for their floor (Matthew Stafford) and their upside (Daniel Jones). There’s almost no reason to take Carson Wentz. He’s an uninspiring guy who you will constantly want to replace and he missed 25% of his games in 2017 and 2018.
Wentz also has serious wide receiver problems. Seriously, their depth chart is a mess. Their #1 has a non-functional foot, their #2 is a raging anti-semite, their #3 is a rookie, their #4 is a sophomore who completely disappeared last season, their #5 opted out of the 2020 season and their #6 is a quarterback. Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz can make the offense go, but aren’t likely to get those massive plays that can get you 65 and a touchdown in 10 seconds, boosting Wentz’s final line.
Wentz is pretty much the profile of a guy who is pretty good but not great. His touchdown rate ranked 12th, his adjusted yards per attempt was 14th. His interception rate was the fourth-best in 2019, though that was luck more than anything else (see the article above). He ranked 10th in quarterback rating in 2019. That’s where he’s been for his career, has over the last four seasons he ranks 13th in passing yards, 10th in touchdowns, and 17th in interceptions. He’s fine. Not great, not bad, just fine.
Carson Wentz Draft Strategy:
Carson Wentz Auction Value: $1
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming late June)
Carson Wentz feels like the Bing Bang Theory of fantasy quarterbacks. Everyone knows about it, everyone talks about how it should be good… but nobody actually admits to liking it or seeking it out (except moms and uncles). That’s where he sits in fantasy football drafts. He goes after the QBs players actually want (the top-five guys) and before the upside guys (Daniel Jones, Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield). Wentz also goes last in this tier, after Matt Ryan, Drew Brees, and Aaron Rodgers.
There isn’t much to say about Wentz. He is exactly what he is, an above-average quarterback who doesn’t offer much in the way of fantasy football anymore but doesn’t offer so little that he doesn’t belong on a roster. This is the Philip Rivers-Ben Roethlisberger class of quarterback, who has traditionally been somewhere around QB8 to QB12 at season’s end. I don’t like Wentz at his overall price (#85 overall) but I have no qualms with him as the eleventh QB off the board.
He’s the quintessential “ah shoot I need a QB, who is around?” quarterback. He’s Cream of Wheat, he’s hospital food, he’s Iron Man 3. He’s a close approximation of something you want but he’s mostly just filler. If you need or want filler, get Carson Wentz. If you don’t want filler, go somewhere else.
Best Case Scenario:
He starts to run again after averaging just 12.4 yards per game over the last two seasons and ends up somewhere around QB7.
Worst Case Scenario:
A complete lack of valuable wide receivers tanks his year before he misses a few games after getting banged up. He ends up around QB17.
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]
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