Fantasy Football Allen Robinson: 2018 Player Profile

Fantasy Football Allen Robinson

As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.  If you only want the best wide receivers on your team, then this fantasy football Allen Robinson player profile is for you.

With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but at the skill positions, I think three years is plenty to see what a player does.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.

Allen Robinson

Current ADP (As of 7/29/2018):

Standard: Number 18 among wide receivers.  Number 45 overall.

PPR: Number 18 among wide receivers.  Number 41 overall.

 

Stats:

FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017

All Torn Up Inside about Not Being Able to Help His Team

2016 29 118.1 35 7.9
2015 4 213.2 4 14.2

FANTASY SCORING — PPR

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017

Like Literally All Torn Up Inside.  His Knee Was Shredded.

2016 28 186.1 36 12.4
2015 6 288.2 7 19.2

FANTASY USAGE

Targets Targets Per Game Receptions Receptions Per Game Catch Rate
2017

I Mean, He Caught the One Pass that Was Thrown to Him, but Does It Matter?

2016 151 9.4 73 4.6 48.3%
2015 151 9.4 80 5.0 53.0%

Overview: The concern with Allen Robinson is that it has been two years since he has had a good fantasy football season.  In 2017, he had to deal with a torn ACL.  In 2016, he had to deal with a healthy Blake Bortles.  Both were grueling obstacles for a man to overcome, but now Allen Robinson has perhaps his most daunting obstacle of all.  Being effective in a Chicago Bears offense.  When looking at Robinson, we are really just seeing his 2015 season and all the potential he might have.  I tend to lean on the side of optimism regarding him because he was a good enough college receiver that he got Christian Hackenberg drafted in the second round.  I think there are definite questions about how he will be used in the Chicago Bears new offense.  There is no doubt he is the number one guy in Chicago, but if he isn’t getting 150 targets a season, will he be able to maintain his level of productivity?

Strategy: At his current ADP, Allen Robinson is going in the fourth round, which sounds about right.  He has top ten receiver potential, but he also has questions marks.  The players you can get around his ADP have similar question marks.  If I go heavy on running back with my first couple of picks, Allen Robinson is on my short list of receivers to target in the fourth and fifth round.

Ceiling:  If Allen Robinson ends up being the focal point of the Chicago Bears passing game, as many anticipate he will, he could emerge as a top-five wide receiver.

Floor:  What will actually happen is that freed from the shackles of Allen Robinson, Blake Bortles will emerge as one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL.  Allen Robinson will end up playing like every other Chicago Bears number one receiver, which is to say he will either be injured or on the bench.  Bears fans will yet again wonder what it would be like to have a competent NFL offense.

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