If you play in fantasy football leagues, there is a very strong chance that you have to start a kicker. There is also a very strong chance that you will hear at least one person in your league complain that kickers are just random number generators and ruin fantasy football. Last season, I wondered if this was actually true and if kicker production was just some arbitrary byproduct of football, so I developed a predictive model for kickers. I then started playing a bunch of kicker tournaments for DFS.
By the end of last season, our Twitch DFS Show had a 94.5% return on our investments. To keep it simple, you can predict kicker production with the right methodology. Here is a list of the top kicker options for week eleven based on tiers. While I have been doing this system for over a year, this is a work in progress for me, so bear with me as I come up with a more refined method of providing. For now, I am creating a tiered system, but ranking everyone overall based on composite scores. At this point, this is much more art than science. Anything in italics is the best in Tier 1 or the worst in Tier 3.
TIER 1 – GREAT MATCH-UP RATING
- HARRISON BUTKER (KC)
- TYLER BASS (BUF)
- JUSTIN TUCKER (BAL)
- DAN CARLSON (LVR)
- CAIRO SANTOS (CHI)
- JASON MYERS (SEA)
- RYAN SUCCOP (TB)
TIER 2 – AVERAGE MATCH-UP RATING
- NICK FOLK (NE)
- GREG ZUERLEIN (NYJ)
- MATTHEW WRIGHT (PIT)
- RILEY PATTERSON (JAX)
- JOEY SLYE (WAS)
- KAI’MI FAIRBAIRN(HOU)
- BRANDON MCMANUS (DEN)
- CADE YORK (CLE)
- GRAHAM GANO (NYG)
- CAMERON DICKER (LAC)
- YOUNGHOE KOO (ATL)
- MATT GAY (LAR)
- WILL LUTZ (NOS)
- ROBBIE GOULD (SF)
- CHASE MCLAUGHLIN (IND)
- GREG JOSEPH(MIN)
- BRETT MAHER (DAL)
- MASON CROSBY(GB)
- EVAN MCPHERSON (CIN)
TIER 3 – BAD MATCH-UP RATING
- JAKE ELLIOTT (PHI)
- RANDY BULLOCK(TEN)
- MICHAEL BADGLEY(DET)
- JASON SANDERS (MIA)
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[Image Source: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Robbie_Gould_kicking.jpg under CC BY SA 2.0]
