It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We continue with the tight ends. Today, we take a look at a player who I thought was as good as gone from the Miami Dolphins. That’s right, it’s tight end Mike Gesicki, who the Dolphins franchise-tagged prior to the season, ensuring his return. What can we expect from the pass-catching tight end in an offense that is traditionally friendly for tight ends? Let’s take a look at his 2022 fantasy football player preview!
Mike Gesicki ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: TE12, 107 overall
Average Auction Value: $1.3
Mike Gesicki Statistics:
Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
2021 | 17 | 9 | 112 | 73 | 780 | 2 | 6.59 | 4.29 | 65.2% | 6.96 | 10.68 |
2020 | 15 | 9 | 85 | 53 | 703 | 6 | 5.67 | 3.53 | 62.4% | 8.27 | 13.26 |
2019 | 16 | 5 | 89 | 51 | 570 | 5 | 5.56 | 3.19 | 57.3% | 6.40 | 11.18 |
Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
2021 | 92 | 128.5 | 165 | 5.4 | 7.6 | 9.7 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 1.47 |
2020 | 106.3 | 132.8 | 159.3 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 10.6 | 1.25 | 1.56 | 1.87 |
2019 | 85 | 110.5 | 136 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 8.5 | 0.96 | 1.24 | 1.53 |
Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
2021 | 1021 | 9.2 | 221 | 1.97 | 3.03 | 22% | 18% |
2020 | 943 | 10.97 | 171 | 1.99 | 3.17 | 24% | 16% |
2019 | 910 | 10.2 | 162 | 1.82 | 3.18 | 17% | 15% |
2022 Mike Gesicki Overview:
I thought that Mike Gesicki would be gone from the Dolphins. After all, new head coach Mike McDaniel comes from the Kyle Shanahan offensive coaching tree, and Shanny loves his tight ends to block (according to PlayerProfiler.com, George Kittle has run fewer routes per snap than average, and Mike Gesicki has run routes at the second-highest rate in the league). So, it seems clear to me that Mike McDaniel has a plan for Mike Gesicki, and it isn’t just copying and pasting what the 49ers did with George Kittle. I have to say, that entices me. It means they kept Gesicki around for a reason and it isn’t just because he was good. If he was a misfit for the system that McDaniel wanted to run, then why tag him?
That tells me that Mike Gesicki is a part of their (near) future. Gesicki has been a quiet fantasy football stud the last three seasons. Among active tight ends, Gesicki ranks sixth in total PPR points since 2019. His fantasy points have also increased each of the last three years, going from 137 in 2019, to 162.3 in 2020, to 168 in 2021. In the end, Gesicki is a shoo-in to create value for you.
2022 Mike Gesicki Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Mike Gesicki Salary Cap Value: $2
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
If you’re reaching into the blob, come out with Mike Gesicki, somehow. It’s that easy. If you want to take a blob tight end, just take two, and make one of them Gesicki. He’s getting a tight end friendly offense with Mike McDaniel coming over from Kyle Shanahan (though things should be different). He’s also dirt frickin’ cheap thanks to the uncertainty surrounding the Dolphins and the fact that he quietly had 112 targets last season. He’s TE12, pick 107 by ADP, and just $1.3 by salary cap figures. Like I side, he’s quietly one of the best tight ends and one of the best values. Should you want to get a tight end out of The Blob, then you can reach in and come out with a consistent top-ten guy with Mike Gesicki.
Best Case Scenario:
Mike Gesicki becomes the new George Kittle and finishes top-five at tight end.
Worst Case Scenario:
Mike Gesicki becomes the new Charlie Woerner, and you have to Google who that is (he’s a backup tight end on the 49ers).
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]