It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We continue with the wide receivers. There’s not much to say about Keenan Allen that is breaking new ground: he’s annually one of the most solid fantasy football values in PPR leagues. Let’s take a look in his 2022 fantasy football player profile!
Keenan Allen ADP and AAV:
Average Draft Position: WR10, 27 overall
Average Auction Value: $28.0
Keenan Allen Statistics:
Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
2021 | 16 | 16 | 157 | 106 | 1138 | 6 | 9.81 | 6.63 | 67.5% | 7.25 | 10.74 |
2020 | 14 | 13 | 147 | 100 | 992 | 8 | 11.31 | 7.14 | 68.0% | 6.75 | 9.92 |
2019 | 16 | 16 | 149 | 104 | 1199 | 6 | 9.31 | 6.50 | 69.8% | 8.05 | 11.53 |
Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
2021 | 151.8 | 204.8 | 257.8 | 9.5 | 12.8 | 16.1 | 0.97 | 1.30 | 1.64 |
2020 | 145.1 | 195.1 | 245.1 | 10.4 | 13.9 | 17.5 | 0.99 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
2019 | 157.5 | 209.5 | 261.5 | 9.8 | 13.1 | 16.3 | 1.06 | 1.41 | 1.76 |
Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
2021 | 1310 | 8 | 337 | 2.15 | 3.18 | 30% | 26% |
2020 | 1071 | 7.29 | 423 | 2.88 | 4.23 | 27% | 27% |
2019 | 1501 | 10.1 | 374 | 2.51 | 3.60 | 30% | 25% |
2022 Keenan Allen Fantasy Football Overview:
Since 2017, Keenan Allen has been a quiet assassin in fantasy football lineups. He’s never a flashy pickup, but all he does is produce consistent PPR fantasy points thanks to his metronome-esque ability to finish each season averaging about six catches for 75 yards per game, with an average finish of WR8 in the last five seasons. He’s also remarkably consistent, game-to-game, with just over 25% of his games having him finish as worse than a WR3 since Justin Herbert came to town. Compare that to 30% of his games where he finishes as a WR1 (though just a third of those games have him finishing top-five) and 30% of his games where he finishes as a WR2, and you can see why Keenan Allen is a completely solid and cromulent, but unspectacular pick.
Allen provides a wonderful floor in PPR leagues because he had more than six targets in fourteen-of-sixteen games last season, and he finished with at least four catches in every game last season, and with more than five catches in every game but four last year. I’ve said it before but it bears repeating, when it comes to weekly fantasy points, Keenan Allen is a metronome, just quietly ticking away points in the background.
2022 Keenan Allen Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Keenan Allen Salary Cap Value: $30
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
Keenan Allen is my second-favorite wide receiver value among premier wide receivers in PPR leagues (hello, Mike Evans). In salary cap drafts, he’s just $28! That’s the same as guys without a consistent production profile, but who are sexier names, like Antonio Gibson ($28), Tee Higgins ($27), and Cam Akers ($27). I would much rather spend my $28 on Keenan Allen, and another $31 on Mike Evans, and solidify that slot for the cost of a Cooper Kupp, or a Derrick Henry, or Dalvin Cook.
In snake drafts, just get Keenan Allen when his name pops up on your screen. No matter your strategy, you can use a guy who goes as a third-round pick who has consistently been a top-ten wide receiver, year over year. I prefer Mike Evans to him for his upside, but the good news is that if you pick at the 2/3 turn, you can get them both, and you can smile, and pump your fists.
Long story short: Keenan Allen is #goodatfootball and is tied to one of the league’s best young quarterbacks in Justin Herbert. Get him onto your fantasy roster.
Best Case Scenario:
Keenan Allen has a massive breakout season with Justin Herbert and smashes all prior production, finishing as WR8.
Worst Case Scenario:
Keenan Allen craters as Justin Herbert and the offense shake apart at the seams. He falls short of all expectations and finishes as WR14.
Check out all our 2022 player profiles, here.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/5d/Antonio_Cromartie%2C_Keenan_Allen_2014.jpg under CC BY SA 2.0]