It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We’ve run through 20 quarterbacks, 40 running backs, and 50 wide receivers! Let’s turn our attention to the position some hate so much they want to ditch it entirely. That’s right, it’s time for the tight end fantasy football previews! Mike Gesicki was my favorite tight end value for a couple of years, but it seems like 2021 Mike Gesicki might be coasting off of good vibes rather than consistent production. Let’s take a look.
Mike Gesicki ADP & AAV:
Average Draft Position (HPPR): TE10, Pick 103
Average Auction Value: $1.5 (TE11)
Mike Gesicki Statistics:
|Year||Std Pts||HPPR Pts||PPR Pts||Pts/G||HPPR Pts/G||PPR Pts/G||Pts/Tgt||HPPR Pts/Tgt||PPR Pts/Tgt|
|Year||Air Yards||aDOT||YAC||YAC/Tgt||YAC/Rec||AYMS||Tgt MS|
2021 Mike Gesicki Fantasy Football Overview:
Mike Gesicki finished as TE12 in 2019, and as TE7 in 2020. But, that has more to do with the position than anything that Mike Gesicki did in 2020 and 2019. In the last two years, he finished as a top-12 tight end on the week just nine times in 31 games. But, now we have a situation where Mike Gesicki now potentially sits fourth—or maybe even fifth—in the pecking order at targets. There isn’t a whole lot of upside to 2021 Mike Gesicki. After all, his boom games came while averaging 8.5 targets per game. The rest of the year, he came closer to a normal tight end target workload, averaging just 4.6 targets per game.
All-in-all, Gesicki was a right place, right time type of player for the Miami Dolphins in 2019 and 2020. As the offense has grown around Gesicki, he’s moved into a more secondary role. Sure, he will still have boom weeks (I still believe in the talent), but his upside as a top-seven or top-eight tight end is limited.
2021 Mike Gesicki Draft Strategy:
TE8 upside isn’t exactly what you want out of your top-ten drafted tight end on draft day, but I understand the preference for getting something out of the position rather than letting things slip past Gesicki into the realm of the unknown. But, Gesicki is more likely to harm you rather than hurt you in a given week, bouncing between the uselessness and usefulness dividing lines on a somewhat weekly basis.
As such, I’m more interested in one of the deeper blob tight ends. I’m eschewing the Roberts Tonyans, the Michaels Gesicki, and the Logans Thomas of the world for the deep shot guys. If Cole Kmet or Adam Trautman or Jonnu Smith don’t work out, guys of Gesicki’s ilk will be on the waiver wire for me to scoop up. But, for a buck in an auction, I can’t really argue that there’s little-to-no downside in taking Gesicki. In snake drafts, however, I am all the way out.
Best Case Scenario:
The tight end targets get focused into Gesicki, and he once again surpasses 80 targets.
Worst Case Scenario:
The tight end targets get absorbed into Will Fuller, Myles Gaskin, and Jaylen Waddle, instead. Gesicki struggles for relevance on 60 targets on the year.
Check out all our 2021 player profiles, here.
Want more 2021 fantasy football draft discussion? Check out these links!
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]