It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We’ve run through 20 quarterbacks, 40 running backs, and 50 wide receivers! Let’s turn our attention to the position some hate so much they want to ditch it entirely. That’s right, it’s time for the tight end fantasy football previews! 2020 Logan Thomas was one of the great fantasy football values at tight end, but is 2020 Logan Thomas the reason you don’t want to draft 2021 Logan Thomas in fantasy football leagues?
Logan Thomas ADP & AAV:
Average Draft Position (HPPR): TE9, Pick 96
Average Auction Value: $1.7 (TE10)
Logan Thomas Statistics:
|Year||Std Pts||HPPR Pts||PPR Pts||Pts/G||HPPR Pts/G||PPR Pts/G||Pts/Tgt||HPPR Pts/Tgt||PPR Pts/Tgt|
|Year||Air Yards||aDOT||YAC||YAC/Tgt||YAC/Rec||AYMS||Tgt MS|
2021 Logan Thomas Fantasy Football Overview:
Logan Thomas was a fun story last year. Zero tight ends had at least five targets in all 16 games last year. Only two, Logan Thomas, and Darren Waller had 16 games of 4+ targets. Before you cry about Travis Kelce sitting week 17 and not making it specifically because of that, Kelce had 3 targets in week 7, so he wouldn’t qualify anyway.
That’s what Logan Thomas’ big upside was in 2020: volume. He had lots of consistent targets, which went into overdrive with Antonio Gibson’s foot injury in week fourteen. In weeks fourteen through sixteen, during the fantasy football playoffs, Logan Thomas averaged 9 catches for 69 yards, on 12 targets per game. That’s bonkers, and also something he can’t replicate in 2021. Touchdowns are key to tight end success, and Thomas, despite all his volume, ended the year with just seven ten zone targets. He will need every bit of that volume to come back, or for him to suddenly become a touchdown scorer, for his 2021 season to matter in fantasy football.
2021 Logan Thomas Draft Strategy:
In a snake draft, I see no reason to draft Logan Thomas. In week eleven last year, he still made his way onto rosters in just 44% of leagues. I titled my waiver wire piece that week “Just Go Get Logan Thomas.” Nobody wanted them then, but all of a sudden, everybody wants Logan Thomas now? What changed?
Did the offense get more crowded? Oops, yep. Did his tight end-focused quarterbacks (Alex Smith and Dwayne Haskins) move on? Absolutely. Was Logan Thomas just a volume-driven fever dream? Absolutely. That’s why I’m not too keen on Logan Thomas this season: because this year’s Logan Thomas is floating out there in the ether. I’m not going to invest in Thomas in a snake draft in the top-100 (or even top-130) picks. There’s just too much downside to him at that price, and I can just go snatch up an upside part of The Blob, and cut him for 2021’s Logan Thomas if he doesn’t pan out.
Best Case Scenario:
His 2020 season wasn’t a mirage, and the Washington Football Team added Curtis Samuel for some reason other than taking targets from players who aren’t as good as he is.
Worst Case Scenario:
His 2020 season was a mirage, and the Washington Football Team added Curtis Samuel specifically to take targets from players who aren’t as good as he is.
Check out all our 2021 player profiles, here.
Want more 2021 fantasy football draft discussion? Check out these links!
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: Image Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/ca/WFT_TE_Logan_Thomas.jpg, cropped under CC BY SA 2.0]