It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We finished our quarterbacks already; that means it’s time to get to the most frustrating position! That’s right, we’re on to the running backs. The next guy up is someone who a lot of people love to think will take a step forward and be the RB1 in Arizona. I’m just… not sure why. Let’s take a look at 2021 Chase Edmonds!
Chase Edmonds ADP & AAV:
Average Draft Position (HPPR): RB26, Pick 62
Average Auction Value: $10.1 (RB22)
Chase Edmonds Statistics:
|Year||G||GS||Rush||Ru Yds||Ru TD||Tgt||Rec||Yards||TD||Touches||Opp||Total Yards|
|Year||Std Pts||HPPR Pts||PPR Pts||Pts/G||HPPR Pts/G||PPR Pts/G||Pts/Tch||HPPR Pts/Tch||PPR Pts/Tch|
2021 Chase Edmonds Fantasy Football Overview:
Chase Edmonds will have standalone value, don’t get me wrong, here. And yes, there’s a reason I need to get this out of the way first. Edmonds finished 2020 as RB28 in total fantasy points. He also played all sixteen games, which both (1) adds to his value (2) makes his RB28 finish somewhat skewed. In a half-PPR per game, Edmonds finished with just 8.8 fantasy points, which comes out to RB40 on the year.
A lot of people seem to think that he will finish as the RB1 on the team, instead of the RB2. I just don’t see a reason why the Cardinals brought in James Conner to be anything but Kenyan Drake. He was essentially a more efficient Kenyan Drake in their respective times with their former squads. So, I think that Conner was brought in to play the Drake role and keep Edmonds as a pass-catching back extraordinaire.
That’s where Chase Edmonds thrives. He soaked up the sixth-most targets and seventh-most receptions while turning in the sixth-most receiving yards in 2020. Unfortunately, I don’t see him growing from that role. Edmonds has three career games with over eight rush attempts. In those games, he finished with 126, 70, and 47 rushing yards. That’s not too bad, but unfortunately, it comes out to a paltry 3.85 yards per rush.
So many of Edmonds’ career numbers rest on his performance in literally one game: Week seven, 2019. He finished with 150 total yards on 29 touches, scoring thrice. That game accounts for nearly 10% of his career yards, and 25% of his career touchdowns (on 9% of his career touches). We have nothing in Chase Edmonds’ profile to suggest that he’s the lead back in Arizona, other than we really want it to happen.
2021 Chase Edmonds Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
This is where I tell you that I’m not responsible for the auction values chart. I strongly disagree with this evaluation, and I think that Edmonds belongs with the Nyheim Hines/J.D. McKissic group of running backs. He will return value, but not if you take him at $15 or with your first 65 picks in your draft. Chase Edmonds is the 1B, and there’s nothing in his profile to suggest otherwise. He’ll have a solid 2021 based on his target volume, but don’t expect any sort of massive step forward from Edmonds, unless he drastically changes who he is.
I want to dump some more “he’s a pass-catching back” stuff here, so here we go! He had one goal-line carry last year, he has a true yard per carry of 4.4 (#20, per PlayerProfiler), he had a 16% juke rate (again per PlayerProfiler), and he evaded just 1.5 tackles per game. All of this indicates that Chase Edmonds isn’t quite what some of us hope he would be. But, what he is, is still valuable. He will return value as a Nyheim Hines-style pass catcher. You just can’t get him there at his current going position. So, I won’t have any Chase Edmonds.
Best Case Scenario:
Chase Edmonds is suddenly really good at running the football. He smashes all my expectations and finishes as RB16 after taking him as RB26.
Worst Case Scenario:
Chase Edmonds is what I think he is, and he finishes as RB36, but you took him at RB26.
Check out all our 2021 player profiles, here.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: Public Domain Photo taken by U.S. Air Force photo by Airman 1st Class Aspen Reid]