As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. We only look at the past three seasons for a player. Devin Singletary successfully cast of the yoke of Frank Gore this offseason, only to have a younger, stronger, faster, better yoke by the name of Zack Moss put around his neck. What can we expect from Devin Singletary as he splits time in his sophomore year with a young gun while he is still, objectively, a young gun?
Derrius Guice ADP and AAV:
Standard Scoring ADP: RB21, 47 overall
PPR Scoring ADP: RB22, 48 overall
Average Auction Value: $14
Devin Singletary Statistics:
Devin Singletary Overview:
I was a big fan of Devin Singletary going into last year. I thought he could easily hold off Frank Gore to solidify himself as a weekly RB2-or-better in what promised to be a strong running game. Well, rumors of Gore’s demise were greatly exaggerated, as Singletary mustered just 151 carries and 41 targets in his rookie campaign. Singletary played in 12 games, so his per-16 game pace is a better indicator of opportunity: 201 carries and 39 catches. Not amazing, but nothing to sneeze at.
The problem with Devin Singletary in 2020 is we were sold a Bill of goods in the second half of the season, a Bill that is looking more like Robert Foster than Stefon Diggs at this point. In the last eight games of 2019, Singletary had a bigger role, going all the way up to 16.4 carries per game and 2.5 catches as the Bills remembered Frank Gore is no longer 24. He turned in a 1,450+ yard pace in those games and was on all the early break out lists.
Then, the unthinkable happened: the Bills added arguably a better player than Devin Singletary in Zack Moss. Moss was a tier-two running back for me, alongside Cam Akers and Clyde Edwards-Helaire. The guy is the real deal. That leaves Singletary with an uneasy situation in his backfield entering 2020.
Devin Singletary Draft Strategy:
Devin Singletary Auction Value: $9
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet! (coming late June)
I am not getting Devin Singletary at his price or his ADP. Granted, he turned in a top-24 game in seven-of-twelve games last year, but that was with a drastically inferior force stealing touches from him. Zack Moss is not Frank Gore. Frank Gore is not Zack Moss. Moss, at this point in his career, is poised to steal a lot of touches from Devin Singletary, a lot of touches that he’s likely to turn into touchdowns at a much higher rate than Frank Gore, whose role evaporated after failing to convert three-straight first-and-goal carries last year.
I love Devin Singletary as a player, but he’s being drafted like Zack Moss doesn’t exist. If he was going for a better price, I would be all over him this year. Unfortunately, well…
Best Case Scenario:
The NFL decides to cryo-freeze Zack Moss be the last savior to try to stop Frank Gore from getting carries in his final year… Moss is unfrozen in 2052.
Worst Case Scenario:
Zack Moss is a much better Frank Gore and Singletary’s role disintegrates in 2020.
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]
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