As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. We only look at the past three seasons for a player and do our best to give you a quick cheatsheet breakdown (and for the sophomore Marquise Brown, we only need to look to 2019). We are only focusing on the potentially fantasy-relevant wide receivers in standard scoring and PPR leagues. If you’re wondering if a talented second-year receiver can break out of his minor role and become a star, then this Hollywood Brown player profile is for you.
Marquise Brown ADP and AAV:
Standard: WR29, 67 overall
PPR: WR29, 69 overall
Average Auction Value: $10
Marquise Brown Statistics:
Brown had an underwhelming first season, but he was recovering from foot surgery and multiple ankle issues. He didn’t take up my suggestion that he should get one of those wheels that dogs with injured legs have, but I’ll try to separate my analysis from my bitterness. The talent is there, and that offense is insane, but are these interlocking pieces or from two separate puzzles?
Last season, Marquise Brown had just 71 targets and barely any average depth of target, given his skill set. Lamar Jackson targeted him about 11 yards downfield, on average. For Brown to have any fantasy relevance, he’ll either need to get about 30% more targets or about 30% more air yards in 2020. Brown’s volume as a deep threat in a heavily run-and-tight-end-based offense just doesn’t work. That will need to change in 2020 for Brown to have fantasy relevance.
Best Case Scenario:
Marquise Brown returns on his first-round stock by getting enough targets and air yards to return fantasy value. He becomes a boom-or-bust top-24 wide receiver in the process.
Worst Case Scenario:
It turns out, the Ravens make the shocking decision to stick with the run-based offense that brought them extreme success in 2019. They decide to utilize their second-round RB to get even busier on the ground and manage to pass even less. Brown is a lottery ticket that doesn’t look like a good fantasy fit, take him in double-digit rounds or you’ll be using draft capital to make a bigger risk than a drunken sailor at a tattoo parlor.
[Photo Credit: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Marquise_Brown.png under cc-2.0]
[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com and airyards.com]