As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.
Stefon Diggs ADP and AAV
Standard: 14th among WRs, 36th overall
PPR: 13th among WRs, 31st overall
Stefon Diggs Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $34
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 12th | 164.3 | 16th | 11.0 |
| 2017 | 17th | 134.2 | 11th | 9.6 |
| 2016 | 42nd | 109.3 | 27th | 8.4 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 10th | 266.3 | 11th | 17.8 |
| 2017 | 19th | 198.2 | 13th | 14.2 |
| 2016 | 30th | 193.3 | 14th | 14.9 |
FANTASY USAGE
| Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
| 2018 | 184 | 6.5 | 112 | 8.6 |
| 2017 | 64 | 4.6 | 95 | 6.7 |
| 2016 | 69 | 4.3 | 92 | 5.8 |
Overview: Diggs had his first 100 catch and 1,000 yard season in 2018, topped off with 9 touchdowns. Hopefully he can continue to grow with second year quarterback Kirk Cousins.
Strategy: Our Stefon Diggs Auction Value ($200 Budget): $35
Along with fellow Viking Adam Thielen, Diggs feels like a player who could rise up past his current ADP and AAV. He’s being drafted outside of the top 12, despite being a WR1 in both standard and PPR. We’d pay a few bucks more than his $34 ADP because of his high floor and upside, although he might fall to the low $30s if you’re lucky, so don’t jump bid.
Best Case Scenario: Diggs improves his connection with Kirk Cousins and solidifies himself as a back end WR1.
Worst Case Scenario: Kirk Cousins falls apart or Minnesota leans on the run, more, and Diggs ends up a low-end WR2 based heavily on volume.
