Fantasy Football Chris Hogan: 2018 Player Profile

Fantasy Football Chris Hogan

If you believe in miracles, then this fantasy football Chris Hogan player profile is for you. As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.

With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but at the skill positions, I think three years is plenty to see what a player does.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.

Fantasy Football Chris Hogan

Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):

Standard: Number 25 among wide receivers.  Number 55 overall.

PPR: Number 25 among wide receivers.  Number 55 overall.




Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 52 75.6 26 8.4
2016 57 88.2 60 6.3
2015 74 57.0 87 4.1


Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 58 109.6 27 12.2
2016 60 122.2 75 8.7
2015 75 92.0 92 6.6


Targets Targets Per Game Receptions Receptions Per Game Catch Rate
2017 59 6.6 34 3.8 57.6%
2016 58 3.9 38 2.5 65.5%
2015 59 3.7 36 2.3 61.0%


Overview: When I look at Chris Hogan, I wonder if he is hope or hype.  At a cursory glance, he looks like another everyman receiver that New England seems to find off the scrap heap.  But a closer look shows that there is more to “fantasy football Chris Hogan” than just a couple of great catches on Hard Knocks.  Before Chris Hogan got injured last season, he was on his way to having a monster year.  If you project his numbers over the course of a full season, Chris Hogan ends up with 60 catches, 9 touchdowns, and 780 yards.  More important for our purposes, Hogan would have ended the year as a WR1.  The departure of Brandin Cooks means that there should be plenty of opportunities for Chris Hogan in New England.

Strategy: The best part about Hogan is his ADP.   You can get him fairly easily in the fifth round.  Honestly, I don’t understand why he is going so low.  Of all the other receivers going in the fifth, such as Alshon Jeffery and Corey Davis, I think Chris Hogan has the clearest path towards being a WR1.  I take him every time in the fifth.

Ceiling: If Chris Hogan can build from his 2017 season, he could end the year as a low-end WR1.

Floor:  What will actually happen is the great white hope will end up being the great white hype.  The Patriot Way will actually be destroying your fantasy football team and all the joy you feel in your life.

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