The Jacksonville Jaguars’ offense broke out in the second half of last season, but with Travis Etienne’s departure and Travis Hunter’s role in flux, there are some serious question marks for them headed into 2026. Let’s take a look at the 2026 Jacksonville Jaguars’ fantasy football sleeper, undervalued, and overvalued players!
Sleeper: Travis Hunter, Wide Receiver (WR63, Pick 157 OVR)
Travis Hunter is an intriguing player because we all know his talent level, but we also all know that he struggled mightily to adjust to the two-way game in the NFL and ended his season with a torn LCL. He had exactly one useful game: his last one before he disappeared in practice one day and never came back. Prior to his breakout game, Hunter was doing fine, but wasn’t living up to the #2 overall pick. I don’t doubt the talent, as it would be silly/stupid to deny that Hunter is a talented player, but it isn’t a coincidence that Hunter’s demise coincided with the Jaguars taking off last season: he simply wasn’t effective more often than not.
109 wide receivers ran at least 200 routes last season, and Hunter was 40th in targets per route run, meaning he was getting a good amount of opportunities to produce. Unfortunately, his yards per target ranked 85th, between Calvin Austin and Josh Downs. His yards per reception was 87th, between Tre Harris and Keon Coleman. And, finally, his first downs per route run ranked 80th, between Xavier Worthy and Marvin Mims.
That all is to say: Travis Hunter might not make it. And the Jags might leave him in the dust. I am not particularly interested in the report that the Jags are only going to let him run on defense, but the offense didn’t need him last season, and all he does may be steal from the other players and limit their upside. Still, he’s too talented a player for me to skip him at his price.
Undervalued: Trevor Lawrence, Quarterback (QB10, Pick 87 OVR)
Trevor Lawrence, or “Wristband Trev” as they call him, finished last season as the QB4 overall, and QB6 in fantasy points per game. But, it wasn’t all sunshine and rainbows. He started the season throwing for a good amount of yards, but his TD:INT ratio was a mess. Before the Jags traded for Jakobi Meyers, Lawrence played on a pace that came out to 3910 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and 13 picks (with 291 rushing yards and 8.5 TDs). In the two games after Meyers’ arrival, things got worse, as his pace dropped to 2643 passing yards, with a pick and a TD per game.
That all changed after Lawrence decided to don a play caller’s wristband, something that Liam Coen said freed up Lawrence to play faster and more decisively. After the win against the Chargers, where Lawrence used the wristband in the hurry-up, he told the media that it was something they tried out in the hurry-up and on third downs to get him more time at the line of scrimmage.
After the Chargers’ victory, Lawrence went to the wristband full time, and everything changed for the Jags. After that point, Lawrence played on a torrid pace: 4507 passing yards, 44 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, and 432 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. It helped carry people to the playoffs, though there were some real stinkers in there: the Cardinals, Titans, Colts, and Jets. Though he put up 279 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, along with 20 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Broncos, so it wasn’t just beating up on tomato cans (though it was that a little bit).
His advanced stats also told a wonderful tale. After the Wristband Trev allegations were proven true, he ranked (min. 100 dropbacks, 30 QB): third in yards per attempt (8.19), first in QB Rating (106.0), second in Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt (7.91), first in completion percentage over expectation (7.2%), fourth in average depth of target (10.3), third in deep throw rate (17.1%), third in hero throw rate (7.5%), and first in fantasy points per game (25.8).
Ultimately, it comes down to this: the former first overall pick is surrounded by talent (BTJ, Travis Hunter, Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington, and Brenton Strange) and has a skilled offensively-minded head coach. He is going to continue to feast, and we have already seen that an extended stretch of QB1 overall is in the cards.
Overvalued: Bhayshul Tuten, Running Back (RB25, Pick 60 OVR)
Tuten was trapped behind incumbent Travis Etienne last season, much to my chagrin. He finished the year with a 24% opportunity share and 23% snap share, which ranked 58th & 71st, respectively. To be honest with you, as one of the standard bearers of the Bhayshul Tuten fan club: he did nothing last season. He finished last year with 83 carries for 307 yards and ten catches for 79 yards, and seven total touchdowns. The seven touchdowns seem like a nice chunk until you realize that it ranked outside the top-25. So, by every metric, he did nothing, finishing as RB51 in a rookie season spent wallowing behind Travis Etienne. But Etienne is no longer there, and Chris Rodriguez is mid, according to Bluesky and Twitter, but is there anything in his advanced profile that makes him exciting?
Well, he’s tenth in juke rate, but outside of that… not really. He had one breakaway run last year; he created 3.14 yards per touch (33rd), and he managed 3.7 YPC while facing the fourth-highest rate of light fronts (6 or fewer defenders in the box).
All the Tuten hype stems from literally four carries against the Bills in the playoffs, where he finished with 4 carries for 51 rushing yards (20, 14, 13, 4 yards). It’s worth noting that the Bills were one of the worst run defenses in the league last year, allowing the eighth-highest success rate, the fifth-highest explosive run rate, the most yards after contact per attempt, and the sixth-most yards before contact per attempt. This all led to the third-highest YPC allowed and the most rushing touchdowns in the league.
So that is to say, he beat up on a bad run defense.
So, I had previously been in on Bhayshul Tuten, but I regret to inform you all: I am out, especially when you consider his ADP. He’s an inefficient volume-based dead zone RB with a timeshare situation on his hands with other, more interesting players around him.
