It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We’ve run through 20 quarterbacks and 40 running backs; that means it’s time to get to the deepest and most varied position! That’s right, we’re on to the wide receivers! Today, I’ve decided to take a look at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver corps. That’s right, it’s 2021 Chris Godwin, 2021 Mike Evans, and 2021 Antonio Brown. You can check out all three guys by clicking the links above! And yes, I wrote this in a generic enough way to use it as an intro to all three. On to whichever player is in the title!
Chris Godwin ADP & AAV:
Average Draft Position (HPPR): WR16, Pick 42
Average Auction Value: $14.5 (WR15)
Chris Godwin Statistics:
Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
2020 | 12 | 12 | 84 | 65 | 840 | 7 | 7.00 | 5.42 | 77.4% | 10.00 | 12.92 |
2019 | 14 | 14 | 121 | 86 | 1333 | 9 | 7.56 | 5.38 | 71.1% | 11.02 | 15.50 |
2018 | 16 | 5 | 95 | 59 | 842 | 7 | 5.94 | 3.69 | 62.1% | 8.86 | 14.27 |
Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
2020 | 126.0 | 158.5 | 191.0 | 10.5 | 13.2 | 15.9 | 1.50 | 1.89 | 2.27 |
2019 | 190.1 | 233.1 | 276.1 | 13.6 | 16.7 | 19.7 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 2.28 |
2018 | 126.2 | 155.7 | 185.2 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 11.6 | 1.33 | 1.64 | 1.95 |
Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
2020 | 854 | 10 | 284 | 3.38 | 4.37 | 20% | 19% |
2019 | 1301 | 10.8 | 577 | 4.77 | 6.71 | 23% | 22% |
2018 | 1134 | 11.9 | 257 | 2.71 | 4.36 | 17% | 16% |
2021 Chris Godwin Fantasy Football Overview:
Chris Godwin’s 2020 went about as poorly as you could expect, as a fantasy manager. I can fully understand being out on Godwin when you consider what rostering Godwin must have been like in the first half of 2020. In weeks one through eight, his availability was as follows: active, inactive, active, inactive, inactive, active, active, inactive. Just a cavalcade of inactives for various reasons; a frustrating string of games for someone who was supposed to be your first-round pick. Given that he came off of injury or was hurt in six of his first eight games, I can understand getting away from Godwin.
But, don’t get away from Godwin if you believe in him. The guy was a gamer and missed zero games after dealing with his concussion, broken finger, and hamstring. From week nine through the end of the year, he averaged 5 catches for 70 yards and scored five touchdowns in eight games. He wasn’t as good as Mike Evans (more on why this is weird, in a second) but he was still really good. Antonio Brown didn’t crush his value. He, like every other Buccaneer, saw a rising tide lift his boat.
2021 Chris Godwin Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Chris Godwin Auction Value: $12
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
Chris Godwin’s draft value is an interesting proposition. He had just about the worst possible year he could have had last year, and yet, we get almost zero discount on him. He’s going just three picks after Mike Evans, who finished 2020 as a top-ten wide receiver (on a 70/1,006/13 line). Whereas Chris Godwin missed four games, and finished as WR32 overall. It’s a real “trust the talent” happening with the fantasy football community when it comes to drafting Godwin. Honestly, it makes sense. Last year was really strange for Godwin.
So, if you believed in Godwin in 2019 and 2020, go ahead and believe in him in 2021. He had three disparate injuries (concussion, broken finger, hamstring strain), so it isn’t a situation where he kept injuring the same body part on loop.
You aren’t getting a ton of value on Godwin in snake drafts, but in auctions, he’s $14.5, and Mike Evans is $20.3. That $6 difference could net you Mike Davis, or Russell Wilson, or even Tyler Lockett. So you could get Mike Evans or Chris Godwin and Tyler Lockett for that dollar amount. I think I know where I am going in salary cap drafts.
Best Case Scenario:
Godwin gets over the fluky injury bug and comes out the other side averaging 5 catches for 70 yards as a floor tossing in about 10 touchdowns in a longer season.
Worst Case Scenario:
I mean, it can’t get worse than the first half of 2020, right? Unless the first half of 2020… is his entire 2021? Oh no.
Check out all our 2021 player profiles, here.
Want more 2021 fantasy football draft discussion? Check out these links!
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Davante_Adams_2015-2016_playoffs.jpg, cropped under CC BY SA 2.0]
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