The Seattle Seahawks hope to have a revamped offense in 2020. At least, that’s what Russell Wilson hopes. For too long, he’s had the governors on, as Pete Carroll and now Brian Schottenheimer demanded that the run be properly and thoroughly established. Still, Wilson has been one of the best fantasy (and real-life) quarterbacks over his entire career. Can we imagine what an unleashed Russell Wilson looks like? It would probably throw these sleepers, breakouts, and busts all out of whack. Or, will it?
Sleeper – Will Dissly, Tight End (TE19, 161 overall)
Here we go again with Dissly, who was a potential sleeper tight end before his rookie year. In his rookie year, he caught eight catches in four games and then tore his patellar tendon. Then, in 2019, he was set to be a sleeper tight end, before tearing his Achilles tendon just 23 catches (for 262 yards and four scores) and six weeks into the 2019 season. Here we go again with Dissly, who will have to contend with newly-acquired Greg Olsen for targets and snaps in Seattle’s offense, but who should easily defeat the ancient Greg Olsen for targets and snaps. His usage gives him double-digit touchdown upside, but he has to defeat the injury monster and play the role of Father Time against Greg Olsen before it happens for Dissly.
Breakout – D.K. Metcalf, Wide Receiver (WR22, 54 overall)
Metcalf kind of already had his breakout, but if ESPN is allowed to list him as a sleeper, then I can take the extremely mild “breakout” take on Metcalf. He was one of the most physically dominant wide receivers in the league last year, even though his anticipated refinement never came. Maybe he can add a second route this offseason? Probably not, but even if he doesn’t, he’s a freak of nature who works perfectly with Russell Wilson. As a rookie last year, Metcalf hauled in 58-of-100 targets for 900 yards and seven scores. Let’s call 900/7 his floor as he is an odds-on favorite to smash his ADP this season.
Bust – Chris Carson, Running Back (RB15, 30 overall)
Chris Carson cracked his hip last season, and he’s the top Seattle Seahawks player off the board by twenty picks (Tyler Lockett goes #50). I let the Seahawks tell me how they feel about Chris Carson’s injury, and they responded by drafting a fourth-round running back and kicking the tires on every veteran RB before settling on Carlos Hyde. This is the third time in three years that injuries cost Carson time. This year’s injury would have been more catastrophic if it had happened earlier in the year, but it was a season-ender. It just happened to come in week sixteen. Carson has no injury downside baked in, as he was RB13 last season in half-PPR. I’m out on Carson with his injury downside and limited upside here, especially if the Seattle Seahawks pass more in 2020.