(Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f1/Baker_Mayfield_training_camp_2018_%282%29_%28cropped%29.jpg/600px-Baker_Mayfield_training_camp_2018_%282%29_%28cropped%29.jpg under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)
As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. This time frame gives a better understanding to the fantasy owner who has shown a strong consistency. One year wonders and flash-in-the-pans happen every season. However, the top-flight players always remain. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best quarterback value lies.
Baker Mayfield ADP and AAV
Standard: 5th among QBs, 64th overall
PPR: 5th among QBs, 67th overall
Baker Mayfield Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $18
Overview: A lot of speculation went into Baker Mayfield being the first quarterback chosen in the 2018 NFL draft. Many thought either Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, or even Josh Allen should have been claimed there, instead. However, Mayfield proved he was deserving of the title. Having the best rookie season by far as a pro and in the world of fantasy, Mayfield did his best work after the Browns finally decided they had had enough with Hue Jackson. Mayfield averaged 281.8 yards per game and nearly 2.5 touchdowns and just one interception each contest. His 27 touchdowns broke the all-time mark from rookie quarterbacks.
Strategy: Our Baker Mayfield Auction Value ($200 Budget): $13
Baker Mayfield’s ceiling is mountainous. During the offseason the Browns added Odell Beckham, Jr. Mayfield will have last year’s interim coach Freddie Kitchens now as full-time head coach. whom Mayfield loved to play for, The young signal caller now has an offense built around Beckham, Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb, David Njoku, and eventually Kareem Hunt. At this point, Mayfield is going around the fifth quarterback slot or 61st-67th overall. Thats chalk. Anything later should be gravy. I am a little concerned about the Browns defense getting better, as this translates into running the ball more.
Best Case Scenario: Mayfield continues his upward climb as one of the better of the young quarterbacks. To do that he will need to finish in the top-five of QB’s. This is in his grasp.
Worst Case Scenario: Mayfield is found to have several weaknesses and his quarterback rating drops like a stone. Anything outside the top-ten will be devastating to his fantasy owners.