(Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/90/Kansas_City_Chiefs_KC_logo.svg under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/)
As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.
Tyreek Hill ADP and AAV
Standard: 19th among RBs, 48th overall
PPR: 19th among RBs, 44th overall
Tyreek Hill Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $38
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 1st | 241.0 | 1st | 15.1 |
2017 | 4th | 164.2 | 5th | 10.3 |
2016 | 15th | 138.0 | 20th | 8.6 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 3rd | 328.0 | 4th | 20.5 |
2017 | 9th | 239.2 | 8th | 15.9 |
2016 | 25th | 199.0 | 33rd | 12.4 |
FANTASY USAGE
Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
2018 | 87 | 5.4 | 137 | 8.6 |
2017 | 75 | 5.0 | 105 | 7.0 |
2016 | 61 | 3.8 | 83 | 5.2 |
Overview: Tyreek Hill led standard leagues despite only having 87 receptions. With Kansas City retaining almost all of their offense, he seems as safe as any receiver to have another strong year. The big concern was a looming suspension, but as of 7/19/19 the NFL reported that this will not happen.
Strategy: Our Tyreek Hill Auction Value ($200 Budget): $55
Because he took a hit due on draft boards to possible suspension Tyreek Hill’s current ADP and AAV do not reflect where he will be going. If he falls to the second round, even in PPR, get him. The fourth-year receiver has no obstacles towards another top 5 finish, and is as safe as other receivers going around the same time (Julio Jones, Michael Thomas, Davante Adams).
Best Case Scenario: He gets more work on short route and tops his league-leading fantasy score from last year.
Worst Case Scenario: Kansas City’s offense is rolling so hard, we’d be shocked if he finished outside the top 6.
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