(photo credit Navin Rajagopalan [CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)])
As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the wide receiver value lies.
AJ Green ADP and AAV
Standard: 12th among WRs, 31st overall
PPR: 14th among WRs, 32nd overall
AJ Green Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $38
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 37th | 103.4 | 13th | 11.6 |
| 2017 | 10th | 151.8 | 13th | 9.5 |
| 2016 | 33rd | 120.4 | 6th | 12.0 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 44th | 149.4 | 17th | 16.6 |
| 2017 | 10th | 226.8 | 12th | 14.2 |
| 2016 | 34th | 186.4 | 5th | 18.6 |
FANTASY USAGE
| Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
| 2018 | 46 | 5.1 | 77 | 8.6 |
| 2017 | 75 | 4.7 | 143 | 8.9 |
| 2016 | 66 | 6.6 | 100 | 10.0 |
Overview: After a strong start including a 3-TD game in week 2, AJ Green missed 7 non-continuous games with an injured big toe. Optimists are hoping he can repeat his 2018 WR1 campaign.
Strategy: Our AJ Green Auction Value ($200 Budget): $11 (yeah, you read that right)
I’m the lowest on Green of all the fantasy writers. Look, with a WR, I was to know he’s not likely to get injured. Green missed 7 games in 2018 and 6 in 2016. In fact, SportsInjuryPredictor.com lists 9 different injuries that have cost AJ Green time in the last 5 years, including four to his right toe that limited him last season. The receiver will be 31 by the time the preseason games start, and I just can’t take the chance his body is unraveling when there are at least 5 other wide receivers going around the same time that don’t have an injury history. Let him be someone else’s headache.
Best Case Scenario: Green manages to stay healthy and ends up a middle WR1.
Worst Case Scenario: Green misses no time, but his toe makes him a decoy and gives a goose egg to hopeful owners several times.
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