The Buffalo Bills have three quarterbacks who can’t throw, two wide receivers who can’t catch, and a running back who can’t say whether or not he will play all season. How’s that for a resounding endorsement of their 2018 fantasy football prospects?
For the 2018 season, we will explore a 2018 fantasy football sleeper, breakout (or bounce back), and bust from every NFL team. First, a sleeper can leap into top-tier production at a bargain basement draft day price. A breakout is available in the middle rounds and will return positive value of at least a couple rounds. Bounce backs are normally helpful players coming off a down year or years whom you can acquire for a song. Busts are the worst case scenario: a player who drastically underperforms his draft position. While they may not be a wasted pick, you definitely don’t want them on your team.
2018 Fantasy Football Bust – LeSean McCoy, Running Back (ADP 26, RB15)
I’ve harped on this point enough… Father Time is undefeated and has his eyes set on LeSean McCoy next. McCoy crossed the 2,600 touch threshold last season. The last five backs to do that were Adrian Peterson, Steven Jackson, Frank Gore, LaDanian Tomlinson, and Matt Forte. All of them had at least Hall of Very Good careers before crossing that threshold. After they crossed 2,600 carries, they ended up averaging about 1,100 yards a season. That’s not bad, and definitely usable, but the days of Shady McCoy are over. This doesn’t even get into his potential legal issues pending from a domestic violence accusation.
McCoy feels like he’s being drafted at his ceiling, and he feels like 2018’s version of 2017’s DeMarco Murray. Murray ended as a backend #2 running back but was so boom/bust that he was better suited as a flex player for your fantasy football teams. That is not the player I want as the sixteenth running back off the board.
2018 Fantasy Football Break Out – Kelvin Benjamin, Wide Receiver (ADP 112, WR44)
Kelvin Benjamin said that Cam Newton’s inaccuracy held him back in Carolina. I can’t wait for him to meet Josh Allen. Personally, I don’t know what more fat Kev wanted out of Cam in Carolina, as he led him to 1,949 yards and a score every other game in his first two seasons with Cam. Then Benjamin showed up thicker than a bowl of oatmeal at camp, everything fell apart, and the Panthers did the second best thing to banishing him to Siberia (or even worse, Cleveland).
Now, he’s the undisputed #1 in the Bills passing game. While over 1,000 yards is probably in the cards on sheer volume alone, the touchdowns will probably be a bit messier. The passing game is less likely to find themselves knocking on the end zone’s doorstep with Josh Allen at the helm, meaning fewer score opportunities for Benjamin. Still, he’s a steal at WR44.
2018 Fantasy Football Sleeper – Josh Allen, Quarterback (ADP 241, QB34)
Sorry, I just wanted to have a take as inaccurate as Josh Allen.
For more NFC East fantasy football sleeper, breakout, and bust predictions, click on these links with at least some accuracy: