Fantasy Football Julio Jones: 2018 Player Profile

Fantasy Football Julio Jones

If you want your wide receivers paid, then this fantasy football Julio Jones player profile is for you. As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.

With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but at the skill positions, I think three years is plenty to see what a player does.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.

Fantasy Football Julio Jones

Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):

Standard: Number 4 among wide receivers.  Number 14 overall.

PPR: Number 4 among wide receivers.  Number 13 overall.

 

Stats:

FANTASY FOOTBALL JULIO JONES SCORING — STANDARD

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 5 155.9 7 10.4
2016 7 161.3 5 12.4
2015 1 224.2 2 14.9

FANTASY FOOTBALL JULIO JONES SCORING — PPR

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 7 238.9 7 15.9
2016 8 237.3 6 18.3
2015 1 351.2 1 23.4

FANTASY FOOTBALL JULIO JONES USAGE

Targets Targets Per Game Receptions Receptions Per Game Catch Rate
2017 148 9.3 88 5.5 59.5%
2016 129 9.2 83 5.9 64.3%
2015 203 12.7 136 8.5 67.0%

Overview: I’m not sure if you’ve heard, but Julio Jones is done.  Maybe not everyone is saying it, but it is pretty clear that we as a football collective have given up on him.  That is the only explanation I can come up with for one of the best receivers in football falling to the second round.  The problem I have with this is that he is still pretty fantastic. While his completion percentage dipped, he was still one of the most targeted receivers in football.  Moreover, Julio Jones only had three touchdowns in 2017.  The only time he has had fewer than six touchdowns was 2013, where he only played five games.  If Julio had six touchdowns, he would have ended the year as a top-three receiver.  There are only two conclusions you can draw from this.  One, Julio is on the decline.  Or two, the touchdown regression was a fluke.  Personally, I believe in Julio and think he is being seriously undervalued.

Strategy: If I am at the turn, I love the idea of grabbing Julio to pair with a top tier running back.  I might even go Julio and ODB, which would be a potent 1/2 combination at receiver.   I think Julio has a strong chance to end the year as the WR1.  Even at his current ADP, I think he is one of the best values in the draft.

Ceiling:  The sky is the limit for Julio Jones. He can easily end the year as the WR1.  After all, he’s done it before.

Floor:   What will actually happen is it’ll turn out that last year was the beginning of the end for Julio Jones.  We will find that Alabama wide receivers are like earwigs, and Calvin Ridley will be feasting on the soul of Julio Jones, stealing his talent while your fantasy roster withers away.

 

 

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