Fantasy Football Todd Gurley: 2018 Player Profile

Fantasy Football Todd Gurley

If your running backs are just a reminder of your shame,  then this fantasy football Todd Gurley player profile is for you. As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.

With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best running back value lies.

Fantasy Football Todd Gurley

Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):

Standard: Number 1 among running backs.  Number 1 overall.

PPR: Number 1 among running backs.  Number 1 overall.

Stats:

FANTASY FOOTBALL TODD GURLEY SCORING — STANDARD

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 1 319.3 1 21.3
2016 21 147.5 27 9.8
2015 5 187.6 5 14.4

FANTASY FOOTBALL TODD GURLEY SCORING — PPR

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 1 383.3 1 25.6
2016 18 186.5 23 12.4
2015 7 208.6 9 16.0

FANTASY FOOTBALL TODD GURLEY USAGE

Carries Carries Per Game Targets Targets Per Game
2017 279 18.6 87 5.8
2016 278 17.4 58 3.6
2015 229 17.6 26 2.0

Overview: Todd Gurley is my greatest shame.  Last season, I thought he was a great comeback player candidate.  But I doubted.  People pointed to nebulous stats like his yards after contact and my faith waned.  All I really needed to do was look at the ignominious exit of Jeff Fisher to know that the path was clear for the one true king of fantasy football to emerge.  Todd Gurley was a one-man fantasy wrecking crew last season.  If you had him on your team, you were able to punish unbelievers such as myself.

Strategy: Unlike last year, I am trusting my instincts in regards to Todd Gurley.  Of course, this year, my instincts tell me that Todd Gurley is due to regress.  I’m not saying he isn’t an RB1, because he is.  I just don’t think he’ll be the number one this year.  I think he will probably fall outside of the top five, but he’ll still be well worth his draft position.

Ceiling:  Obviously, his ceiling is RB1.  I gazed up at Todd Gurley.  Two fantasy season it had taken me to learn what kind of production was hidden beneath the dark dreadlocks.  O cruel, needless misunderstanding! O stubborn, self-willed exile from the loving breast!  Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of my nose.  But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. I had won the victory over myself.  I loved Todd Gurley.

Floor:  What will actually happen is some terrible accident will befall Sean McVay before the season starts.  Desperate for a coach to salvage the season, the Rams decide to bring back Jeff Fisher.  Choas ensues (as does an 8-8 record, so Fisher actually feels proud of himself). If you are wondering if I lifted this straight from my worst-case scenario for Jared Goff, I did.  Because there is no scenario worse than Jeff Fisher.