The Chicago Bears were one of the most charmed teams in the NFL last season and continued their streak of not having a 4,000-yard passer. What can we expect from them in 2026 fantasy football? Let’s take a look at the 2026 Chicago Bears’ fantasy football sleeper, undervalued, and overvalued players!
Sleeper: Kyle Monangai, Running Back (RB34, Pick 95 OVR)
Kyle Monangai might have the single most injury-contingent upside in the NFL at running back, because the dude straight up produces when he gets touches. He had over 14 carries twice last season and finished with 48 carries for 306 yards and a touchdown across two games. This is because the Bears’ front seven is a bunch of road graders.
That said, Monangai also offers high-end flex value, though I would prefer someone with a bit more upside than Monangai offers every week in his spot. He finished in the top twelve three times, RB13-22 zero times, and RB23-31 four times. That’s sort of the Kyle Monangai line.
He will pop off a few times when Swift gets banged up or when the Bears boatrace some jabronis, but he will need to score touchdowns to return flex value. He finished with 8 goal-line carries last year, so that opportunity might exist, but it’s more likely than not that Monangai will offer “meh” value at flex for you, making him a pure league-winning handcuff.
Undervalued: D’Andre Swift, Running Back (RB20, Pick 49 OVR)
Did you know that D’Andre Swift was top-fifteen last season in rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdowns at running back last season while finishing sixteenth in fantasy points per game? All told, Swift had a career high in yards, touchdowns, and rushing yards. He did this while carrying just the 22nd-highest opportunity share and the nineteenth-highest snap share, thanks to the skills of one Kyle Monangai. Swift was incredibly consistent, finishing with eleven top-24 weeks (12th among running backs) and five top-12 weeks (15th among running backs).
He is the RB1 in a strong offense who will lose some touches to Kyle Monangai, but he already lost those touches to Monangai last season, and it didn’t really matter. He is a good checkdown pass catcher (3+ targets in eight games last season) and scores touchdowns (eight games with a score), whose numbers are getting double-doubted because they were just okay for some folks and they think that Monangai will take from him. Except Monangai has been out here. It didn’t matter because Swift, with Ben Johnson became one of the most efficient backs in the league, ranking eighth in yards per touch, ninth in PlayerProfiler.com’s true YPC, twelfth in yards created per touch, and eleventh in breakaway runs. He’s an easy top-fifteen running back for me, going at RB Dead Zone prices. I’m scooping him up everywhere I can.
Overvalued: Caleb Williams, Quarterback (QB7, Pick 71 OVR)
I can’t say that I dislike Caleb Williams as a fantasy asset; I just don’t think that he should go a full round ahead of Dak Prescott and sixteen picks before Trevor Lawrence. That having been said, he undoubtedly took a massive leap forward last season. Williams finished 2024 as one of the worst rookies to play a full season in recent memory. Since 2020, nine rookie quarterbacks have had at least 400 pass attempts, and among that group, Caleb was seventh in yards per attempt, first in sacks taken and sack rate, seventh in completion percentage, and sixth in touchdown rate. He was also a nightmare in a clean pocket. Of the 36 qualified quarterbacks, he had the seventh-most unpressured dropbacks, but he also ranked 19th in TDs, 24th in QB rating, 32nd in Y/A, 27th in completion percentage, 30th in CPOE, and 24th in EPA/DB unpressured.
Last season, things got much better for Caleb, as he moved to thirteenth in yards per attempt, sixteenth in sacks, nineteenth in sack rate, eleventh in touchdown rate, and 21st in interception rate. Unpressured, he was sixth in touchdowns, fifteenth in yards per attempt, but his proclivity to bomb it out led to him ranking 32nd in completion percentage and completion percentage over expectation, and 20th in expected points added per dropback (EPA/DB).
Some of these statistics (namely his completion percentage), were still bad, but he showed a huge jump in quarterback rating, touchdowns, and yards per attempt. His EPA/DB unpressured also took a step in the right direction, but is still not great. Has he tried being Jordan Love? Just a thought.
But that wasn’t all Caleb’s fault: the Bears did him dirty a lot last season. The 7.4% drop rate ranked fourth last season, behind Jacksonville, the Jets, and the Vikings. The Bears lost the second-most passing yards in the league last year to drops, with 373 yards, and a lot of this has to do with Caleb chucking it downfield, as his drops averaged 9.8 air yards, the third-highest rate in the league. Caleb also ranked fifth in the NFL with three drops in the end zone.
Let’s look at a couple more things to get a picture of Caleb Williams, from his PlayerProfiler page: fifth in money throws, second in danger plays, and third in interceptable passes (20).
So, we see a picture of a talented quarterback who likes to chuck it downfield, but still needs to hew down the edges to become a more consistent weapon. I do believe that a second year under Ben Johnson will make the Bears more “normal” and not “cardiac kids” like they were last year. I also fear and regret to inform Waleed and Tony that Caleb Williams was insanely lucky with interceptions last year, with a 35% interceptable pass conversion rate in a year where the league rate was north of 60%.
Caleb is also a perfectly cromulent rusher, mostly scrambling for yards (seventh-most scrambles) but putting up 380+ yards in each of his first two seasons, with 3 rushing touchdowns last season.
Caleb Williams is QB7 this draft season and returned this price just five times last year (QB1, QB1, QB4, QB6, and QB7). Despite this, he finished as… QB7 last season. To me, however, this feels like a hard cap for Caleb, as finishing as a startable QB just five times last year and still finishing at QB7 tells me that this is a near hard-cap on his finish, especially since the Bears are a run-first offense (eleventh-lowest PROE last season) who play ball control offense (bottom half in pace of play) and who “got away with it” last season. I don’t see the upside of taking Caleb at seven, especially when Dak Prescott goes at QB9, and Trevor Lawrence at QB10.
