I began a weekly streamer article for kickers because one of my pet projects last offseason was to develop a predictive model for kickers. Last season, I developed the model because we had started playing a bunch of kicker tournaments for our Saturday DFS Twitch show. By the end of last season, our show had a 94.5% return on our investments for all kicker tournaments. To keep it simple, I believe you can predict kicker production with the right methodology and I think I am off to a good start, despite the limited sample size. My method doesn’t really care about extra points. For fantasy football, we win with field goals, so the goal of the system is to find who is going to have the most opportunities and who will have the most success with those chances.
Here is a list of the top kicker schedules for the rest of the season. This is based solely on their opponent’s rankings. While I have been doing this system for over a year, this is a work in progress for me, so bear with me as I come up with a more refined method of providing. For now, I am creating a tiered system, but ranking everyone overall based on composite scores. At this point, this is much more art than science. Anything in italics is the best in Tier 1 or the worst in Tier 3.
TIER 1 – GREAT OFFENSIVE RATING
- JUSTIN TUCKER (BAL)
- JOEY SLYE (WAS)
- RYAN SUCCOP (TB)
- YOUNGHOE KOO (ATL)
- CHASE MCLAUGHLIN (IND)
- HARRISON BUTKER (KC)
- MATTHEW WRIGHT (PIT)
- CADE YORK (CLE)
- MATT PRATER (ARI)
TIER 2 – AVERAGE OFFENSIVE RATING
- GREG JOSEPH(MIN)
- RANDY BULLOCK(TEN)
- BRETT MAHER (DAL)
- BRANDON MCMANUS (DEN)
- JAKE ELLIOTT (PHI)
- MATT GAY (LAR)
- NICK FOLK (NE)
- TYLER BASS (BUF)
- CAIRO SANTOS (CHI)
- JASON SANDERS (MIA)
- RILEY PATTERSON (JAX)
- MICHAEL BADGLEY(DET)
- EDDY PINIERO (CAR)
- EVAN MCPHERSON (CIN)
- GREG ZUERLEIN (NYJ)
- CAMERON DICKER (LAC)
- DAN CARLSON (LVR)
- GRAHAM GANO (NYG)
TIER 3 – BAD OFFENSIVE RATING
- KAI’MI FAIRBAIRN (HOU)
- MASON CROSBY (GB)
- WILL LUTZ (NOS)
- ROBBIE GOULD (SF)
- JASON MYERS (SEA)
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