It’s that time of year once again! Football Absurdity will bring you a breakdown of every notable fantasy football-relevant player throughout June, July, and August. We’ve run through 20 quarterbacks and 40 running backs; that means it’s time to get to the deepest and most varied position! That’s right, we’re on to the wide receivers! Today, I’ve decided to take a look at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver corps. That’s right, it’s 2021 Chris Godwin, 2021 Mike Evans, and 2021 Antonio Brown. You can check out all three guys by clicking the links above! And yes, I wrote this in a generic enough way to use it as an intro to all three. On to whichever player is in the title!
Mike Evans ADP & AAV:
Average Draft Position (HPPR): WR13, Pick 39
Average Auction Value: $20.3
Mike Evans Statistics:
| Year | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt/G | Rec/G | Rec% | Yds/Tgt | Yds/Rec |
| 2020 | 16 | 16 | 109 | 70 | 1006 | 13 | 6.81 | 4.38 | 64.2% | 9.23 | 14.37 |
| 2019 | 13 | 13 | 118 | 67 | 1157 | 8 | 7.38 | 4.19 | 56.8% | 9.81 | 17.27 |
| 2018 | 16 | 16 | 138 | 86 | 1524 | 8 | 8.63 | 5.38 | 62.3% | 11.04 | 17.72 |
| Year | Std Pts | HPPR Pts | PPR Pts | Pts/G | HPPR Pts/G | PPR Pts/G | Pts/Tgt | HPPR Pts/Tgt | PPR Pts/Tgt |
| 2020 | 178.6 | 213.6 | 248.6 | 11.2 | 13.4 | 15.5 | 1.64 | 1.96 | 2.28 |
| 2019 | 165.7 | 199.2 | 232.7 | 12.7 | 15.3 | 17.9 | 1.40 | 1.69 | 1.97 |
| 2018 | 198.4 | 247.4 | 290.4 | 12.4 | 15.5 | 18.2 | 1.44 | 1.79 | 2.10 |
| Year | Air Yards | aDOT | YAC | YAC/Tgt | YAC/Rec | AYMS | Tgt MS |
| 2020 | 1241 | 11 | 258 | 2.37 | 3.74 | 22% | 18% |
| 2019 | 1809 | 15.3 | 256 | 2.17 | 3.82 | 35% | 23% |
| 2018 | 2121 | 15.7 | 239 | 1.77 | 2.88 | 33% | 22% |
2021 Mike Evans Fantasy Football Overview:
Mike Evans started off his 2020 campaign with one of the more absurd sets of stat lines you will ever see from one player. In weeks one and three, he combined to tally four yards on three catches… and three touchdowns. In weeks two and four, he turned 19 targets into 14 catches, 226 yards, and 2 touchdowns. That rollercoaster ride evened out, as he scored a bunch of touchdowns and had somewhat stable yardage from thereon out. He broke out in the fantasy football finals, so if you stuck with him, his 10 receptions, 181 yards, and 2 touchdowns could help you potentially overcome getting Kamara’d in the finals.
Evans’ season also changed dramatically when Antonio Brown arrived. He averaged 46.6 yards per game on 3.8 receptions (5.8 targets), scoring 7 touchdowns in 8 games before AB84 returns from suspension. After his new running mate arrived, Mike Evans did… better? He finished the year with just six touchdowns in eight games, but he also finished averaging 5 catches for 79.1 yards per game (7.9 targets). His yards per reception also jumped up from 12.4 to 15.8, which is huge.
All-in-all, Antonio Brown’s arrival helped Mike Evans get to another level in fantasy football. It makes sense, as Tom Brady also became comfortable with the offense around that time, and finally had a full complement of weapons at his disposal.
2021 Mike Evans Fantasy Football Draft Strategy:
Mike Evans Auction Value: $25
Draft Ranking: Find out for your league settings in a Beersheet!
As of right now, Mike Evans is the most expensive Tampa Bay Buccaneer overall. He goes first in snake draft, and his $20.3 is the highest salary cap draft price tag. My main worry with Evans comes with the fact that he scored 13 touchdowns last season, a career high. If those touchdowns go elsewhere in 2021, then we will have problems with Evans. He ended the year with just 1,006 receiving yards in 16 games. While 1,000 yards is a nice baseline, it does further underscore that the touchdowns are out of whack.
To put my concern simply, he had the 25th-most targets, 28th-most catches, 16th-most yards, and the third-most targets. The only counter to this is that Evans had the third-most ten zone targets in 2020, with about half of them coming with Antonio Brown. He converted three of those eight ten zone targets for touchdowns.
To be honest, I am merely passing on Mike Evans because there’s too much uncertainty there for me. The Buccaneers’ offense is crowded, which makes it easy for someone to get lost in the shuffle on a given week. While I don’t think this happens to Mike Evans, that nibbling concern sits in the back of my mind. I can’t shake it. If I’m wrong, so be it. But I’d rather not go against my gut feeling and live to regret it.
Best Case Scenario:
The fully actualized Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense run roughshod over the NFL, and Mike Evans turns into a massive weapon, totaling 1,200 total yards and 14 touchdowns.
Worst Case Scenario:
Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, bored with just winning title after title, decide to see how many touchdowns they can get Gronk in a season. This kills Mike Evans’ fantasy value.
Check out all our 2021 player profiles, here.
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[Statistics are sourced from pro-football-reference.com, airyards.com, and ftnfantasy.com]
[Image Source: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Davante_Adams_2015-2016_playoffs.jpg, cropped under CC BY SA 2.0]
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