(Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/31/Russell_Wilson_vs_Vikings%2C_November_4%2C_2012.jpg under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)
As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. This time frame gives a better understanding to the fantasy owner who has shown a strong consistency. One year wonders and flash-in-the-pans happen every season. However, the top flight players always remain. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best quarterback value lies.
Russell Wilson ADP and AAV
Standard: 8th among QBs, 80th overall
PPR: 9th among QBs, 88th overall
Russell Wilson Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $14
|Rank||Total Points||PPG Rank||PPG|
Overview: Russell Wilson has been a star since entering the league in 2012, making the Pro-Bowl five times and winning the Super Bowl once. However, he struggled in 2018 after finishing the season ranked as the QB1 in 2017. Wilson had his lowest number of passing yards since 2013, even though he had his most touchdowns throught the air in his career. Interestingly enough, it was the first season he did not score on the ground. He also had his second least amount of rushing yards in his seven years as a pro. A 30% rushing attempt decline from 2017 did not help much and neither did his 23% deduction in passing attempts. However, Wilson finished in the top-ten in fantasy quarterbacks, proving he is resilient.
Strategy: Football Absurdity’s Auction Value ($200 Budget): $5
It will be hard pressed to see Wilson duplicate his touchdown numbers, even though there might be a rise in rushing attempts. His passing attempts could remain the same as Seattle is more focused on running the ball: They have two good backs in Chris Carson and Rashad Penny. Focusing on the run will also preserve the health of the aging Wilson. Wilson should finish at the lower end of the top-ten quarterbacks. I wouldn’t make a leap for him as 2018 is probably his ceiling. On the other hand, I wouldn’t worry about his injury status. He hasnt missed any playing time as a pro, since… ever.
Best Case Scenario: Russell Wilson plays up to his 2017 season and finishes in the top-five.
Worst Case Scenario: Russell Wilson drops even further and falls out of the top-ten for the second time in his career.