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As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. This time frame gives a better understanding to the fantasy owner who has shown a strong consistency. One year wonders and flash-in-the-pans happen every season. However, the top flight players always remain. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best quarterback value lies.
Matt Ryan ADP and AAV
Standard: 6th among QBs, 69th overall
PPR: 6th among QBs, 76th overall
Matt Ryan Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $14
|Rank||Total Points||PPG Rank||PPG|
Strategy: Football Absurdity’s Auction Value ($200 Budget): $10
Matt Ryan is constantly passed over mostly due to his horrendous years when he has them: Sprinkled among his top fantasy years, he has QB15, 19, 18, and 14th finishes over his career. Also, over the last four seasons, Ryan has had alternating good and bad seasons, so keep that on your radar. Ryan has only missed two games over his career, both coming in 2009. Pretty remarkable for a quarterback with little mobility. Targeting Ryan should result into a nice ROI for your quarterbacking position.
Overview: Matt Ryan returned to 2017 form under Dirk Koetter. Ryan had his second highest amount of passing yards and second most touchdowns of his career. He even added three rushing touchdowns. Ryan had five total coming into 2018, so it would be surprising to see him match those numbers again. Outside of his 2013 and 2015 seasons, Ryan has finished in the top-10 of quarterbacks since 2010 seven times and has averaged a finish of seventh among signal-callers in that time period. With Ryan’s trusted trio of wide receivers in Julio Jones, Muhammad Sanu, and Calvin Ridley, expect similar outcomes as Ryan had in 2018 and 2016.
Best Case Scenario: Ryan continues to be a high-echelon quarterback and finishes in the top-five of all quarterbacks.
Worst Case Scenario: Ryan has one of those miserable seasons finishing in either the middle or late of QB2 rankings.