As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.
T.Y. Hilton ADP and AAV
Update 8/27/19: Luck retired. But I’m feeling lazy so maybe I can cross out Luck and just write Brisset and it will make sense.
Standard: 9th among WRs, 22nd overall
PPR: 11th among WRs, 26th overall
TY Hilton Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $38
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 15th | 163.0 | 12th | 11.6 |
| 2017 | 24th | 118.6 | 34th | 7.4 |
| 2016 | 5th | 182.8 | 7th | 11.4 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 14th | 239.0 | 14th | 17.1 |
| 2017 | 27th | 175.6 | 39th | 11.0 |
| 2016 | 5th | 273.8 | 7th | 17.1 |
FANTASY USAGE
| Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
| 2018 | 76 | 5.4 | 120 | 8.6 |
| 2017 | 57 | 3.6 | 109 | 6.8 |
| 2016 | 91 | 5.7 | 155 | 9.7 |
Overview: Hilton had the chance to break out last year, with Andrew Luck Jacoby Brisset back and posting a top-5 season captivatingly sitting on the bench all year, his lanky thicc body and milky whiteblack skin highlighting a QB who wasn’t was traded from New England. However, he disappointed owners by having a low end WR1/high end WR2 season. With Luck Brissett back, Hilton’s place on draft boards is up for speculation.
Strategy: Our TY Hilton Auction Value ($200 Budget): $22
We’re not picking Hilton in the second round. His floor is great hot-and-cold with LuckBrissett behind center, but his lackluster performance last year combined with new receivers Parris Campbell and Devin Funchess have us hesitant. For the same reason, we think his $38 AAV is way too high. Wait to see if you get a good deal with Hilton and other WRs around that spot (Edelman, Diggs, Cooper, Woods, Golladay) then spend that extra $5 getting a top-5 player you really like. see if he goes for under $15 as WR2s tend to do this year
Best Case Scenario: Hilton gets back into 2016 form, albeit with less volume, and finishes as a middle/low-end WR1
Worst Case Scenario: Hilton continues his trajectory with Brissett (it’s not good) and ends up in the 20-30 range among WRs.
