As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.
Keenan Allen ADP and AAV
Standard: 11th among WRs, 28th overall
PPR: 10th among WRs, 23rd overall
Keenan Allen Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $38
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 14th | 163.1 | 17th | 10.9 |
2017 | 3rd | 182.2 | 4th | 11.4 |
2016 | N/A | 6.3 | N/A | 6.3 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 12th | 260.1 | 12th | 17.3 |
2017 | 3rd | 284.2 | 4th | 17.8 |
2016 | N/A | 12.3 | N/A | 12.3 |
FANTASY USAGE
Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
2018 | 97 | 6.1 | 136 | 8.5 |
2017 | 102 | 6.4 | 159 | 9.9 |
2016 | 6 | 6.0 | 7 | 7.0 |
Overview: Allen followed up a season-ending injury with two straight top-15 years. He is expected to continue being a part of the potent Chargers offense as their number one wideout.
Strategy: Our Keenan Allen Auction Value ($200 Budget): $44
We like Allen right where he’s going, at the end of the second round. His floor, barring injury, makes him one of the safest WRs at that spot. There is some question as to whether Hunter Henry will show skills and take touches away from Allen, but Keenan’s talent should keep him as someone Phillip Rivers frequently looks for. We like reaching into the $40s for himin auction, as he could easily be a cheap WR1 to anchor out a strong running back base.
Best Case Scenario: Allen continues to be a large part of the offense and finishes as a top 6 WR.
Worst Case Scenario: Allen loses a step and finishes as a high-end WR2.