As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.
Antonio Brown ADP and AAV
Standard: 8th among WRs, 21st overall
PPR: 7th among WRs, 18th overall
Antonio Brown Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $41
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 2nd | 219.7 | 2nd | 14.6 |
2017 | 2nd | 209.3 | 1st | 15.0 |
2016 | 3rd | 201.3 | 1st | 13.4 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 5th | 323.7 | 2nd | 21.6 |
2017 | 1st | 310.3 | 1st | 22.2 |
2016 | 1st | 307.3 | 1st | 20.5 |
FANTASY USAGE
Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
2018 | 104 | 6.9 | 168 | 11.2 |
2017 | 101 | 7.2 | 163 | 11.6 |
2016 | 106 | 7.1 | 154 | 10.2 |
Overview: Perennial first-WR-off-the-board Brown had a rocky year with Pittsburgh’s management, culminating in him being traded to the Raiders. Time will tell if he can click with Derek Carr and fill in the role Amari Cooper never could.
Strategy: Our Antonio Brown Auction Value ($200 Budget): $35
We’re not buying it. The Raiders is where wide receivers go to DIE!!! The emergence of Amari Cooper once he left the Raider’s system shows the difficulty a talented WR1 can have. We’re happy to let someone else reach or overbid for him.
Best Case Scenario: Derek Carr decides Brown is his new favorite guy and Brown ends up a top 12 WR.
Worst Case Scenario: Brown continues to be disgruntled with management, as the Raiders’ is horrible. Brown stops trying and barely creeps into the top 24 WRs.