As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and PPR leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best tight end value lies.
Hunter Henry
Current ADP: As of 06/25/2019
Standard: 6th among TEs, 62nd overall
PPR: 6th among TEs, 66th overall
Average Auction Value ($200 Budget): $10
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2017 | 12th | 81.9 | 14th | 6.8 |
2016 | 11th | 94.2 | N/A | N/A |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2017 | 14th | 124.4 | 8th | 7.2 |
2016 | 18th | 130.2 | 17th | 10.0 |
PLAYER USAGE
Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2017 | 45 | 3.2 | 62 | 4.8 |
2016 | 36 | 2.4 | 53 | 3.5 |
Overview: With Antonio Gates out of the picture, Henry was expected to gain more ground into the field of top-12 tight ends for 2018. However, a knee injury in the early preseason forced him out for the year. Now, fully recovered, Henry is poised to be one of Phillip Rivers’ favorite options.
Strategy: Our Auction Value ($200 Budget): $5
Henry is definitely fully healed, and he even had limited run in the Chargers’ playoff games last January. The Chargers offense is potent, and Henry could be in the upper half of TE1s. However, there are a lot of evenly-forecasted TEs ranked between four and ten, so we’re staunchly advocating that you just wait until one of those guys goes two rounds lower than ADP or $5 lower than AAV.
Best Case Scenario: Henry blossoms into a huge weapon and ends the year with top-four tight end stats.
Worst Case Scenario: Barring another injury, his floor is pretty high. It’s hard to imagine a scenario where he starts at least a dozen games but isn’t a top-ten tight end.
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