Fantasy Football T.Y. Hilton: 2018 Player Profile

Fantasy Football T.Y. Hilton

If you only want the best wide receivers on your team, then this fantasy football T.Y. Hilton player profile is for you.

As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.

With my player profiles, I’ve decided to only go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but at the skill positions, I think three years is plenty to see what a player does.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.

Fantasy Football T.Y. Hilton

Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):

Standard: Number 12 among wide receivers.  Number 30 overall.

PPR: Number 11 among wide receivers.  Number 28 overall.




Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 21 117.2 29 7.8
2016 5 173.3 8 11.6
2015 21 138.0 26 9.2


Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 25 171.2 33 11.4
2016 5 258.3 7 17.2
2015 21 203.0 29 13.5


Targets Targets Per Game Receptions Receptions Per Game Catch Rate
2017 109 6.8 57 3.6 52.3%
2016 155 9.7 91 5.7 58.7%
2015 134 8.4 69 4.3 51.5%


Overview: You cannot tell the story of T.Y. Hilton without first telling the story of Andrew Luck.  Because Hilton suffers from some serious regression if you look at the splits of games when Luck is his quarterback and when he is not.  Over the course of a season, it is the difference of 250 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 18 receptions.  Basically, it is the difference between a WR1 and a low-end WR2.  So when you are deciding on whether to draft Hilton, you need to ask yourself – am I feeling lucky?  (I’m so sorry.)

Strategy:  Right now, you can get T.Y. Hilton in the third round.  To me, the risk is worth it at this ADP.  Hilton was still a low-end WR2 last year, so it isn’t like he was unproductive last year.  He was just disappointing for his draft position.  If Luck is healthy, Hilton will be a WR1 and I will take a WR1 in the third every time.

Ceiling: If Luck comes back to form, T.Y. Hilton should easily be able to end the year as a WR1.

Floor:  What will actually happen is your luck will run out and T.Y. Hilton will barely be adequate.  You will curse the one-armed man who tanked your fantasy season, but nobody will believe you.

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