As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best running back value lies.
Carlos Hyde ADP and AAV
Current ADP: As of 7/20/2019
Standard: 43rd among RBs, 111th overall
PPR: 47th among RBs, 126th overall
Carlos Hyde Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $1
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 44 | 88.4 | 55 | 6.3 |
| 2017 | 11 | 175.0 | 14 | 10.9 |
| 2016 | 14 | 165.1 | 10 | 12.7 |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 49 | 98.4 | 69 | 7.0 |
| 2017 | 30 | 144.6 | 42 | 9.0 |
| 2016 | 18 | 192.1 | 12 | 14.8 |
FANTASY USAGE
| Carries | Carries Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
| 2018 | 172 | 12.3 | 16 | 1.1 |
| 2017 | 240 | 15.0 | 88 | 5.5 |
| 2016 | 217 | 16.7 | 33 | 2.5 |
9/2 UPDATE
Hyde appears to be the first- and second- down back for Houston. We like him at an RB4 value ($10-15 or 8th-10th round). Oh what, you wanted a joke? Too bad, we’ve got to go update our Damien Williams player profile for the FOURTH TIME!
Overview: Hyde had a down year in 2018, splitting time between Cleveland and Jacksonville, and will turn 29 this year. The good news is 2019 has landed him in the backfield of an offensive juggernaut, surrounded by world-class playmakers. The bad news is he is currently the clear cut second banana to Damien Williams, a career second banana. If it turns out Williams can’t handle the load as a workhorse RB, or misses any time due to injury, Hyde has the skills and experience to make a name for himself in KC.
Strategy: Our Carlos Hyde Auction Value ($200 Budget): $12
What is happening? Hyde is one of the best backup RBs in the league, playing behind a mostly unproven perennial backup, on one of the most prolific offenses, and is getting picked in the double digits? Hyde is a STEAL right now. Stealy McStealface. I can only imagine his ADP and AAV will change dramatically once the general public gets a peek at just how Hyde fits in with the Chiefs.
Best Case Scenario: Hyde takes over RB1 duties for one reason or another, and finishes as a Top 15 fantasy RB.
Worst Case Scenario: Williams runs away with the job, relegating Hyde to primarily receiving work, pushing his fantasy value down to RB3/4 levels.
(Image Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/30/Carlos_Hyde.JPG under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en)
