(Source: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a3/Boston_Strong_Concert-May_30%2C_2013.jpg under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/)
As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated players in standard scoring and PPR leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best running back value lies.
Kerryon Johnson ADP and AAV
Standard: 20th among RBs, 38th overall
PPR: 18th among RBs, 36th overall
Kerryon Johnson Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $24
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 33th | 107.4 | 19th | 10.7 |
| 2017 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2016 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
| Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
| 2018 | 34th | 139.4 | 28th | 13.9 |
| 2017 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2016 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
FANTASY USAGE
| Carries | Carries Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
| 2018 | 118 | 11.8 | 39 | 3.9 |
| 2017 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2016 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Overview: Kerryon had a decent season before missing the last 6 games with a sprained knee. What’s criminal is his underuse: Despite averaging over 5 yards per carry, he only got less than a dozen carries per game. If the Lions lean on him more in 2018, which they could due to lack of receiving weapons, Johnson has a reasonable chance of breaking out.
Strategy: Our Kerryon Johnson Auction Value ($200 Budget): $49
He had a spotty injury history in college. That combined with the Lions’ mysterious reluctance to give him more carries tempers our expectations. That said, he’s definitely worth a low-end RB2 spot on your roster. Johnson is in that group of running backs where we will just wait to see who falls below ADP and AAV and grab them.
Best Case Scenario: Johnson breaks out and is a high-end RB2.
Worst Case Scenario: The Lions limited his carries because there’s something wrong with him, something that didn’t get fixed, and he ends up outside the top 24.
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