As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but most of the guys at the top are no longer in the league anymore. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best running back value lies.
Alvin Kamara
Standard: 3rd among running backs. 3rd overall.
PPR: 3rd among running backs. 3rd overall.
Alvin Kamara Average Auction Value (AAV) $200 Budget: $60
Stats:
FANTASY SCORING — STANDARD
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 4th | 267.2 | 5th | 17.8 |
2017 | 4th | 233.46 | 6th | 14.6 |
2016 | — | — | — | — |
FANTASY SCORING — PPR
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2018 | 4th | 348.2 | 4th | 23.2 |
2017 | 3rd | 315.4 | 4th | 19.7 |
2016 | — | — | — | — |
FANTASY USAGE
Carries | Carries Per Game | Targets | Targets Per Game | |
2018 | 194 | 12.13 | 105 | 6.56 |
2017 | 120 | 8 | 101 | 6.73 |
2016 | — | — | — | — |
Overview: Alvin Kamara came out of the gate hot in Mark Ingram‘s absence, but the return of the back saw a precipitous decline in touches and production for the #4 overall RB in 2019. Now Ingram is a Raven, and Latavius Murray takes his place. Does this signal the Saints giving Kamara the keys to the Saints offense in 2019?
Strategy: Our Alvin Kamara Auction Value ($200 Budget): $65
Take him if you want him. He’s a no-doubt, top-four S Tier fantasy football running back, alongside Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, and Christian McCaffrey. Depending on who you ask, he’s the RB1 this season with his multi-talented ability, strong offense, and only Latavius Murray in his way. If you get to pick your position in your draft, and you want one of these four guys, just choose the #4 slot. Any of these four will anchor your fantasy football squad.
Best Case Scenario: We see the Alvin Kamara from the first four games Mark Ingram missed last season, when Kamara was on pace for 2,400+ yards and 24 touchdowns. If you’re new to fantasy football, 2,400 yards and 24 touchdowns from a running back classifies as “pretty dang good,” and “one of the best fantasy football running back seasons of all-time.”
Worst Case Scenario: Alvin Kamara takes his role as team goodwill ambassador seriously, and he spends the off-season touring all the food and drink New Orleans has to offer. The day before training camp opens, he’s found passed out on Decatur, with po’boy wrappers and hurricane glasses strewn around him. He weighs 350 pounds, and he still puts up more fantasy football points than Christine Michael.