Fantasy Football Trey Burton 2018 Player Profile

If you love micromanaging snap counts and taking a career part-time tight end as your TE1… check your head, but also, this Fantasy Football Trey Burton player profile is for you.

As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts.  When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper.  Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players.  We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.

With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years.  I could show you lists from earlier, but at the skill positions, I think three years is plenty to see what a player does.  I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span.  We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.

Fantasy Football Trey Burton

Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):

Standard: TE9, #81 overall

PPR: TE8, #74 overall

 

Stats:

FANTASY FOOTBALL TREY BURTON SCORING — STANDARD

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 26 54.8 19 5.0
2016 39 38.7 52 2.8
2015 89 5.4 72 1.8

FANTASY FOOTBALL TREY BURTON SCORING — PPR

Rank Total Points PPG Rank PPG
2017 30 77.8 24 7.1
2016 34 75.7 46 5.4
2015 90 8.4 79 2.8

FANTASY FOOTBALL TREY BURTON USAGE

Targets Targets Per Game Receptions Receptions Per Game Catch Rate
2017 31 2 23 1.5 74%
2016 60 4 37 2.5 62%
2015 4 0.25 3 0.2 75%

 

Overview: Trey Burton has almost no track record of sustained success in the NFL. Scratch that, I rounded up to “almost.” Burton has no track record of success in the NFL, averaging just 23.8 targets a season through his first four years with Philly. He sat behind Zach Ertz, or more accurately, he sat in the shadow of Zach Ertz. Those who make the somewhat bonkers decision to draft him as their starting tight end look at his splits without Ertz. When Ertz didn’t play in Philly over the last couple of seasons (five games), he averaged 45 yards per game and notched four scores in five games. That 150 point pace in standard scoring is a top-three tight end nearly every season. Maybe his proponents have a point?

Strategy: If you’re going to take Burton as your starting tight end… you’re taking a risk. He doesn’t have any sustained track record and while he knows the system, he is entering a new team with a new cast of characters. In shallow leagues, the waiver wire should have plenty of options if he busts. Keep your finger on that trigger.

Ceiling:  He turns into a top-three tight end at the position as he becomes the new Zach Ertz as Matt Nagy becomes the new Doug Pederson and Mitch Trubisky becomes the new Carson Wentz.

Floor:   What will actually happen is Mitch Trubisky stays Mitch Trubisky and Burton does nothing all season until December, where he posts three top-five tight end weeks. This somehow increases his draft stock in 2019.

About Jeff Krisko

You can follow me on twitter, @jmkrisko for the same lukewarm takes you read here.

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