The Super Bowl Champions need no introduction. The Tush Push merchants boast tons of high-end fantasy football options, making it hard to figure out who could be underdrafted or a sleeper. Overdrafted is also a chore, but I’ve dedicated myself to bringing you one of each from every team, so here we go!
Overdrafted:
Saquon Barkley, Running Back (RB2, Pick 3 Overall)
My Ranking: RB5
I have Saquon in the hyper-elite tier, alongside Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, Christian McCaffrey, and Ashton Jeanty. He is at the back of that tier not because of any questions of his skill, but rather how the team likely wants to use Barkley coming off of his ridiculous 2024 campaign.
Counting the playoffs, Barkley had 482 touches last season, marking the first time in a decade that a running back had 450 or more touches in a season. Since 2001, six running backs topped 450 touches in a season (including the playoffs), and in the following year, they lost an average of 45.6% of their touches, going from an average of 468.8 touches to 254 touches. Only 23-year-old LaDainian Tomlinson topped 300 touches the year following his 450+ touch campaign.
I do not doubt that Saquon Barkley is still the same player that he was last season; it would be foolhardy to expect a downturn in efficiency. However, the Eagles aren’t dummies, and they understand that their goal is to make it back to the Super Bowl. To me, that means we will likely see a downshift in Barkley touches, something we’ve already seen them willing to do (they benched him instead of letting him break the rushing record to keep him fresh for the playoffs).
I still believe Saquon Barkley is a top-eight pick, and a slam dunk first-rounder. I’m cautious about him heading into 2025.
Underdrafted:
A.J. Brown, Running Back (WR10, Pick 19 Overall)
My Ranking: WR5
The (meager) Eagles passing game runs through, and focuses on part-time bench reader A.J. Brown. The issue was that last season, they only needed him for half the game. Luckily for them, A.J. Brown was a first-half marvel; he was the locomotive that put their engine so far ahead that they could coast the rest of the way.
In the first half of games, AJ Brown had 65 targets, 47 receptions, 684 yards, and five touchdowns. A full season of first-half AJ Brown is 170 targets, 123 receptions, 1789 yards, and 13 touchdowns. This is comparable to 2025 Ja’Marr Chase, with three fewer touchdowns and 81 more yards.
In the second half of games, the Eagles took their foot off the gas and Brown had 31 targets, 20 receptions, 395 yards, and two touchdowns. A full season of second-half AJ Brown is 81 targets, 52 receptions, 1033 yards, and five touchdowns. This is roughly Jameson Williams’ 2025.
The Eagles are going from a top-five easiest schedule in 2024 to a top-five most challenging schedule in 2025, so if we believe that the Eagles are going to take a slight step back due to their strength of schedule (meaning they won’t blow teams out and coast in the second half), which forces them to throw more, then AJ Brown has WR1 overall upside. I doubt he gets there, but he is my WR5, behind Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, and Puka Nacua. He is currently going twice as late as WR10. I am snagging him up all day at that price point.
Sleeper:
Dallas Goedert, Tight End (TE15, Pick 130 Overall)
My Ranking: TE15
Goedert is annually a value for the same reason he’s a value this year: if you squint and pro-rate his games, then Goedert is a must-start tight end whenever he plays. Unfortunately, Goedert is an anti-mummy… this guy does ZERO body preservation, folks.
Since the league expanded to 17 games, Goedert has missed or left the game early 29.4% of the time. That’s the problem with him; he’s always hurt. And, he’s in his 30s now, so he isn’t likely to get less injury-prone. That having been said, Goedert was a banger last season, when on the field.
He played over 20% of snaps in 8 games last year, and in those eight games, he paced out to 96 targets, 81 receptions, 937 yards, and 4.25 touchdowns. That would have been 200.2 fantasy points over the course of a 17-game season, or TE5 last year.
He then turned around and finished the playoffs with 20 targets, 17 catches, 215 yards, and a score. That led the Eagles in receiving yards.
Goedert is a steal in the blob at TE15, Pick 130, and he is a great tight end to pair with one of the rookies.
