If you want to spend more time on WebMD than Pro-Football-Reference.com, then this fantasy football Greg Olsen profile is the tight end profile for you.
As we gear up to the start of the NFL season, Football Absurdity is going to bring you a comprehensive breakdown of every notable player that will be available in fantasy football drafts. When you don’t see us talking about Christine Michael or Mike Davis, don’t get mad at us for neglecting your favorite sleeper. Get mad at yourself for having bad taste in football players. We are only focusing on the top-rated running backs in standard scoring and points per game leagues.
With my player profiles, I’ve only decided to go back to look at their fantasy scoring for three years. I could show you lists from earlier, but at the skill positions, I think three years is plenty to see what a player does. I’ve also added a chart for their usage over that time span. We will try to determine, based on those two factors, where the best wide receiver value lies.
Fantasy Football Greg Olsen
Current ADP (As of 9/3/2018):
Standard: TE5, #58 overall
PPR: TE5, #56 overall
Stats:
FANTASY FOOTBALL GREG OLSEN SCORING — STANDARD
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2017 | 51 | 25.1 | 34 | 3.6 |
2016 | 4 | 125.3 | 8 | 7.8 |
2015 | 4 | 152.4 | 6 | 9.5 |
FANTASY FOOTBALL GREG OLSEN SCORING — PPR
Rank | Total Points | PPG Rank | PPG | |
2017 | 50 | 42.1 | 30 | 6.0 |
2016 | 3 | 205.3 | 5 | 12.8 |
2015 | 5 | 229.4 | 6 | 14.3 |
FANTASY FOOTBALL GREG OLSEN USAGE
Targets | Targets Per Game | Receptions | Receptions Per Game | Catch Rate | |
2017 | 38 | 5.4 | 17 | 2.4 | 44.70% |
2016 | 129 | 8.1 | 80 | 5 | 62.00% |
2015 | 124 | 7.8 | 77 | 4.8 | 62.10% |
Overview: In 2017, Olsen had a massive step back for the first time in his career, and the reason casts a pall on his 2018 campaign. He suffered a right foot fracture, requiring surgery. He could not get his feet back under him down the stretch excepting one game (pun intended). Now it’s 2018 and Jones fractures tend to need two surgeries (see Jones, Julio). Ron Rivera said he doesn’t anticipate Olsen needing a second surgery, though I am not as optimistic. This doesn’t even get into Cam Newton’s target options suddenly becoming crowded with Christian McCaffrey, Curtis Samuel, and D.J. Moore as quality receivers that he’s never spent a full season battling with for targets.
Strategy: Olsen’s price tag falls at the round five-round six turn. In that range, there are many other players that are far better options than Olsen. He’s 33, and coming off a surgery that usually needs a second surgery. He hasn’t gotten that surgery yet, and I am going to bet against him not needing it. There’s no value in drafting him at his ADP.
Ceiling: Barring injuries to Gronk, Kelce, and Ertz, he peaks at TE4.
Floor: What will actually happen is in a last-ditch effort to put more aged veterans around Derek Carr, Jon Gruden turns to witchcraft. In what can only be described as a Freaky Friday scenario, he swaps O.C. Greg Olson’s brain and Greg Olsen’s brain. Olsen spends his season trying to play football in Oakland inside the body of a 55-year-old man. Turns out Jon Gruden didn’t think this through. And that’s just wild, man.